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For humanity, it was a lost war.
There is a good chance there are survivors. Considering there are ghoulified chinese soldiers in Fallout 3 (which means if they somehow survived in the US, they somehow survived in China) in addition to the cancelled Fallout Extreme where you could travel to China.
"War does not determine who is right- only who is left."
There's mention that the Chinese were losing the conventional war due to the deployment of power armour units on the Chinese mainland as part of the efforts to lift pressure from Alaska and that there could be surviving American forces on Chinese soil so we could assume from that civilian Chinese would've survived as well.
Considering Nanjing and Shanghai were taken by US Forces during the Yangtze campaign; that shows that there was some serious ♥♥♥♥ going down for China. You'd have to figure, to, since US forces were occupying those cities there's a chance they survived as well.
mineshaft advantage (watch dr strangelove)
China was GOING to lose (T51bs and FEV), so they launched a nuclear offensive. and United states retailiated. the world was destroyed.
If China wasn't dead, they would have taken things like the oil rig from the enclave.