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If you want them to take specific loads then you'll have to make sure the garage they are assigned to is in a city that has that type of freight. Put the ADR driver in a city that has no ADR cargo and obviously he can't take ADR.
Think of it as a series of dice rolls - one to choose the sending company, another to choose the freight (taking into account the driver's skill levels), another to choose the receiving company, yet another the receiving city (taking account of the maximum distance imposed by their skill) with return journeys preceded by a roll for returning empty.
Incorrect. It's permenantly at 5%
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=1635694337
FWIW I have 123 drivers, a handful of them have fewer than 200 total journeys (so less than 100 returns) but the vast majority (93) have 300+ and 9 of them have 600 or more. Interestingly (at least to me) my longest serving driver, who has more than 75 in game weeks to her credit, has the third worst return percentage at 14.75% despite the fact that she's been at level 36 longer than all bar one other driver.
Update: I realised that I'd missed the total empty percentage across all hired drivers, which is 10.15% (2549 empty returns across 25,101 return journeys)
I have the game set up to save textual format saves as well as the binary ones, and I normally take a copy of the decrypted versions of those files (info.sii and game.sii) before and after every sleep period and once somewhere in the middle, giving them unique names in the process. Those saves are a little sketchy for the first few weeks of game time but from week 10 onwards fit the pattern described. Currently this equates to 1,785 file pairs.
I also extract the static data for each release (basically all of the .sii and .sui files in the .scs filesystems).
I then process those files (static and save) using a program 'what I wrote' which builds a full picture of the life of each driver, truck and garage in the game (amongst other things, including the static input data, city to company to cargo relationships, the current freight market and event queue, and the makeup of each truck), creating CSV files that I can load into LibreOffice and analyse.
So, the TL;DR is that that chart was created in LibreOffice from a dataset of all the driver journeys in my main profile.