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Sometimes you really can't use real life to explain how a thing works in a video game.
Within more "Civilized" / big factions the leaders must also realise repopulation is important and it would not surprise me if for instance the NCR has some ethical breeding program set up back in California.
Yes the vaults were experiments BUT the vaults were only overseen by an independent overseer and a handfull of security personnel. They too are merely humans trying to survive and the majority of the vaults would have just opened up when the people in them realised they would have ran out of food and water.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3edi2Wkr5YI
"Middle mouse click"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OyUI0vSNr2A&list=PLX3Sax_xs4WRLK0X5D6uUcSWv6z44F-nN
There are a ton of "Nuke/Bomb Survival Theories" on Youtube. Just look it up, they have the same theory as yours: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNTCRBArJ38
The videos are more professionally accurate and have more research, and are high quality with healthy and good arguments.
Fallout Bible - Game Devs and story makers for the Fallout Universe explain the Fallout Universe and Debunk theories: https://fallout.fandom.com/wiki/Fallout_Bible
Edit: Fallout Iceberg - a theory that goes deeper about Fallout on Youtube exists. Enjoy!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6mW-2j6QGZo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-8C_UH8aviw
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2jBW2JqkyiA
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yl9RG4M48JU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSMh36wbQMc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5APBsRHw9Ok
These videos provide us with comprehensive and well-supported Fallout theories, addressing a range of topics supported by robust evidence, including valuable insights from the Fallout Bible and drawing from reputable sources, which are widely recognized and incorporated into their content.
The Fallout Bible: https://fallout.fandom.com/wiki/Fallout_Bible
Read all the volumes, those are claimed to be true by the developers, you can ask the Devs for Fallout New Vegas confirming these are true.
I think having only 1-2% of the worlds pre-war population 200 years later isn't that far off in realism. 200 years is a lot longer than you might think. We only reached a billion population by 1800 now we are almost at 8 billion. I would say that less than .5% of the population of the US survived the initial bombings, just based off of Fallout 2's NCR population.
This. People forget that Fallout - especially 1/2/NV - aren't post apocalyptic games. They are post-post-apocalyptic games, about the rebuilding that occurs after the initial post-apocalyptic stage.
They also forget that people tend to breed like rabbits, and population growth is more exponential than linear.
I'd say that the wasteland is still underpopulated for the timeframe we see in New Vegas, if anything.
thats only the amount of peopple that are in the NCR id say the real number is given people in various other factions as well as the fact theres group that choose to just be by themselves such as good springs id say the real number is anywhere from 2 -3.5 times the NCRs number
I dont think you understand how massive the NCR is by New Vegas timeline. Its boundaries stretch the entirety of California as well as a major chunk into Nevada, Oregon, and Northern Mexico. While there's still raiders and such, everything in that area is techincally part of the NCR, and as such anyone there is a citizen of the NCR. I think the only independent city is still San Francisco but it's kinda left vague.
Goodsprings is independent. But that's a town with less than 20 people. 90% of Fallout New Vegas takes place in an area that is sandwiched between the NCR and Legion. If you compared Fallout 1/2 map, the NCR capital isn't that far away from Jacobstown.