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What guns are you using? Remove some mods that may cause this?
V.A.T.S. targeting is bugged for certain guns - most lever-action rifles and a few pistols: it consistently shoots high, making headshots improbable or impossible. Consistently replicable by starting a new game, adding a brush gun (id: 00121148) and .45-70 ammo (id: 0013e43e), forcing Guns to 100, and shooting at Easy Pete's head from the nearby road. Bullet impacts will appear on the windowpane behind him - and, shot after shot, will consistently be high. Modifying the gun to have perfect accuracy and/or setting fVATSSpreadMult to 0.01 will reveal that the V.A.T.S. point of aim is roughly a foot high. No known fix yet. This bug also seems to occur with the Hunting Revolver.
If this doesn't answer it, don't depend on the Steam Forum, the problems I'm showing here are already possibilities that you tried. Try solving them yourself (as in deleting the Data File and reinstalling New Vegas) or wait for another comment.
Are the percentages the same if you use the console to max out the appropriate weapon skill?
Hmmmmmm....and that persists on a completely clean install, right? Did you do a clean install then just the basic performance/stability mods?
The only thing I can think of is maybe some obscure engine bug?
Try installing the basics - xNVSE, Tick Fix, JIP LN, and Stewie's Tweaks to cover like 99% of the known bugs, and see if that happens to fix it.
Sorry I don't have a magic bullet here, that's an odd one.