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It's great exchanging a 150k doodad for a whotsit worth a million units. But it's not so great trading in a 750k thingamajig and getting a 112k unit piece of junk.
But, if the answer is "gambling" rather than "guaranteed minimum," then why does the AEV say otherwise? That's what I'm wondering.
I'm in game and checking the log. The four transactions went like this:
Chest of Abandoned Riches | 581,293 units
Parcel of Artificial Bark | 2,173,396 units
Hewn Punching Contraption | 1,349,810 units
Blighted Lawsuits | 1,148,424 units
So the value went down for each of the last two transactions. So why does the AEV say you'll at least get something equivalent?
If you'll try to exchange one of these, you will still get another expensive equivalent (with golden background). But here is a catch: since the game considers all artifacts above 1 mil as 'expensive/rare' already, it can easily exchange your 2 mil worth artifact into 3 mil a-a-and then 3 mil worth artifact into 1 mil. Or 1,5 into another 1,5. Equivalent? - equivalent! The game is sure that it didn't lie to you, lol.
Thus, you can easily gamble with everything that worth less than 1 million. Until your artifact gets golden background to be more precise.