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2: Item stats have some level of RNG to them; You may not have gotten a good roll the first time you crafted it. But I would check the first thing I listed first.
For example I have a level 5 AK that, installed with mods is around 91 damage. I have come across 2 level 6 AK's that when looking at the damage with mods installed, is only 82 damage. I think I will have the level 5 for a long time.
You'll have to factor in if it offers that extra mod slot and if that will help it be better. A level 5 may be better than a 6, but with the extra mod slot in the end the 6 may be better.
The only thing that isn't RNG is the durability ofc.
There are also mods that get rid of RNG..
I have no mods instaled on the pick, but i had no idea that there is RNG involved now because every time i upgraded my (iron) spears from lvl 2 to lvl 3 i always got consistent (within the lvl 3) and better (than lvl 2) stats.
This pissed me off a little bit. When i craft a "better" tool/weapon i should get "better" stats than last level.
So into the forge with this one and onto wasting my precious ducktape and leather on another one ... great.
"Held items spawn with random stats. Crafted items are not random." was from release
"Items crafted by players can now have random stats. No random stats on primitive/stone items. Weapon and similar perks add 1 crafting quality per level so you can eventually craft QL 6 items." was from A18 b149.
The latter matches OP's and my own experience; The primitive equipment (stone axe/ stone spear/ stone shovel etc) all spawn with identical stats for their quality level, while other items encounter randomization.
Also yes; The stats are set up in most cases that it requires a high roll of the lower quality level and a low roll of the higher quality level for the lower to be better. But it is entirely possible.
Higher quality items also sometimes have the potential to be better even if their initial stats are worse; Due to potentially extra mod slots.
I think I’ll wait for another update to play again, maybe that time I’ll be able to play it by crafting my equipment.