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2. The nation must be related to no FACTION.
==========
3. The nation would have 10 ratio of tend to join EU
4. This value would be 5 multiplied when target nation is in same Gov Type (GRAY OR BLUE) as EU host.
5. This value would be 2 multiplied when target nation is both side +24 relation with EU host.
6. The nation would have 2 ratio of tend to reject
7. This value would be 5 multiplied when target nation is -24 relation with EU host.
assuming that a nation has different GOV comparing with EU host and have +24 relation,
then it would be (2*10)/(2+2*10)=90%
assuming that a nation has same GOV as EU host but has -24 relation,
then it would be (5*10)/(5*10+2*5) = 83%
source:
西里斯-Sirius-bilibili动画[www.bilibili.com]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53qust66qeY
If they go the 2% part... I wish such a luck would work the same in Gacha Games...
* And there (is/used to be) a bug that fixed the ratio to (5*10)/(2+5*10)=96%
(↑this sentence contains 33.3% of lie
The country would have 10 ratio of tend to reject and other conditions would keep the same.
So...
Assume a country with +100 and Same gov type... it might have (5*2*10)/(10+5*2*10)=90% possibility of becoming a puppet.