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No, the us had barely above 100 hundred devisions by the end of WW 2 and started with 6. His numbers are probably correct.
Yet division in HOI 4 are not standardized for 20k manpower. They come in all different sizes, depending on design and composition.
I was fighting against 70 divisions, with my 10. The difference is the enemy's 70 divisions were comrosed of just a couple of battalions each.
But I agree with the overall point of your argument that the division-spam is ridiculous. Especially for some of the lesser powers. I'm mostly through a Soviet playthrough right now (it's 1946) and Allied Greece and Sweden each have DOZENS of divisions fighting alongside mine in mainland China. WTF.....
Also, many of the AI divisions are just paper tigers. In my current France game, I had about 250 divisions when I started WW III against the Soviets' 1,000 divisions or so, but my higher quality divisions (granted, they also had the support of my superior and modernized air force but still) utterly crushed the Soviets with minimal losses. The AI doesn't upgrade their old divisions when making a new template so just because an AI country has many divisions doesn't mean they're strong.
That being said, from what I can tell, army sizes seem fairly realistic when you're using the Limited Conscription law but things seem to get out of hand when using any of the better laws.
1.1 will eliviate that to a certain degree.
What would be more intresting is if the fielded manpower correlates to the historical numbers.
Edit: one major problem in hoi 4 is that the 20 width divisions are optimal (and the ai preferes them) which means that the best divisions are about 10k in strengh and not the 15-20k of what the early war historical numbers were.
I completely disagree with the whole 20 width concept. My divisions vary between 40+ and 50+ width. They are powerfull, and I always have divisions in reserve, as well as some assisting from the sides.
The whole 20 width "optimal" concept is ludicrous.
also im not too sure but does organization drop at the same rate for a 40width and a 20width? if so the 20width will stay in battle longer than a 40width
No need to "stay longer", 40 width packs more punch and can "punch through" the enemy much faster, all while taking less damage due to boosted defense and higher attack values.
Hence the major flaw in the 20 width divisions. You just end up chewing through your manpower and equipment much faster. Simply a waste.