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When it reaches 100 you win. If it reaches 0 you lose. This is the case if you are attacking or defend. Closer to 100 is always good for you. The color represents in which direction the battle is currently moving. Green means it's moving toward 100 (and you winning), yellow means it's currently a draw, and red means it's moving toward 0.
Green mean the battle is going your way or that of your allie, red mean its going that of the enemies. Yellow is when its uncertain but that never seems to remain so for long.
Edit: Ninjaed while writting.
No, it means you are 64% of the way towards winning, and it is trending upward. If you watch a green battle, it will slowly go to 65, 66, 68, 69. Watch a red battle, and it will slowly go down. When it reaches 0 your units stop attacking (if on the attack) because they all have 0 organization. If it reaches 0 when your defending, all your units will retreat.
The game is comparing the current battle statistics (attack/defense/breakthrough/air support/ground support/organization/number of divisions in reserve, etc.) and extrapolating out what will happen in the future, assuming nothing changes.
Often though, things do change. One side will have a close air support join the battle and do a bunch of damage to the enemy divisions. Or maybe a general pulls a great tactic that counters the enemy tactic which gives them an edge for a day and that's enough to tip the balance back in their favor. or reinforcements join the fight. Etc. etc.
100 is always *you* win, not just attacker. It applies when you are defending too. If someone attacks your divisions and it gets to 100%, the enemy is repulsed.