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Just try to "learn by doing" and probably readjust your expectations. When i started on Paradox games I basically played them as a roguelike. I would fail the first couple of times but each time I would learn something and get better.
With HOI4 I wholeheartedly reccomend Portugal as a starter campaign. You get to have a handle on the basics of Army, Air and Naval control in a relatively limited space, you can just enjoy an easy 1v1 against spain. A lot of people suggest Germany to new starters but I think for someone who is completely new to HOI its often too much too fast.
Well, to REALLY understand what is goin on, I think you will have to go to wikipedia. Not all at once, of course, but that is where you will find all the information you need about every aspect. In the end is about numbers and mechanics. Whenever you dont understand anything, you can pause a game, peek into wiki, find real data, how radar works, etc. It is all there, to the last screw.
CallMeEzekiel has one which is actually brief and to the point (less than 20 minutes), it's from before NSB so some things have changed but it still covers the basics and most of the game really well. Biggest thing to disregard is when he talks about combat width needing to be either 20 or 40, now 18/27 or 42 is what you want instead.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GufD3sJsgrU
Only thing I'd really disagree with is his assertion that Germany is a bad choice for newcomers, Germany is honestly the best and easiest nation to learn with. Other Paradox games it's a good idea to start as a small minor nation so you aren't overwhelmed, but with HOI4 you definitely want to start as a major so you can actually do something other than press buttons for hours to no end.
Germany is a good choice for a starter Major but I think for someone completely new to the game it can be alot to have to keep track of as whether you like it or not you are going to end up in a multi front war. For me Portugal gave me enough to think about in the focus trees to give me a handle on how that worked while allowing me a manageable economy, I learn about how to handle occupied territory and puppets plus I can have a much more manageable war with spain that i can use to build an understanding of troop usage, impact of terrain and how air and ground work together. Plus building in to a minor naval power as well.
For sure its a case of "each to their own" in terms of what works well but it seems like everyone just spams out Germany for every new player without a seconds thought about what they might be looking for.
As i said, although the focus tree is not very good, the nation itself is in a pretty good spot for learning the game at your own pace, without feeling too overpowered or too weak to only watch the events unfold.
Eventually you WILL lose, because not capitulating UK before 1942 ends up in USA joining the allies and you are not going to make them capitulate easily. So I would just consider it a victory if you manage to capitulate the USSR or even invade britain.
Lesson I learned was check what allies people have, leave forces behind to watch my borders, and don't take lands that will just end up extending my borders and giving my opponents more places to launch naval invasions
So the second try I waited for Germany to invade me. I made civvie factories til 1939 then swapped to mil factories til 1941. During that time I had 5 armies with 12 divisions at the north sea, the place near the scandinavia sea, 2 at the black sea, and two at the manchuko border. I then began to build up a 3 stack army near the border of germany. I worked out also how to equip and train multiple divisions at once.
I did end up reinforcing the armies at Manchuko because the Japanese were kicking off and I had made too much infantry. Tanks and mobile were taking forever to roll out. And I disbanded the mountain and cav forces because they seemed like a waste of resources. I also figured out how to patrol with ships and set them to guard my seas with subs and destroyers.
Also I somehow made the paranoia thing stay at 0%. I just kept picking things that lowered paranoia (and started purges) and it eventually froze at 0% for some reason around the time I killed Trotsky.
Anyway the Germans attacked and despite me having 20 width infantry with good equipment, light tanks and mobile attachments and completely outnumbered them (I had 4 divisions there by now) they completely rolled me back super fast. They had air superiority so I guess I didnt make enough plains, but at one point I upped the number of divisions to 6/5 divisions of 24 and I was still being rolled back
Anyway right after they took Moscow I started playing around with clicking on individual units and noticed the enemy were getting like a 3x bonus to defense and that my 'organisation' was low. I did a bit of googling and now I only use balanced and I only click execute orders when the green tick is there and I press the red square when it turns into 3 yellow dots. I think this means that when it is green my organisation is high and we can push through the enemy with tanks and mobile stuff, and when it is yellow the organisation is getting too bad and I need to rest for a bit which gives me a 3x defense bonus, is that correct?
Anyway I tried to do a communist coup on the germans and it seems to be working, its 1943 and the line isnt moving anymore so I think I might have a chance, but if not then next time I'll get more air support and I'll only press execute orders when the tick is green XD
Whats a good army composition btw? I've been doing 18 infantry, 3 tanks and 3 mobile. The infantry have the middle artillery and field hospital, the mobile have only trucks, mechanics and mobile recon, and the tanks have light and medium tanks, trucks, mechanics and mobile recon. Everyone is width 20. The vehicles take the near side of forever to roll out >.<
Also how many planes do I need and what composition? In terms of my navy I've been getting enough convoys to make logistics % stay at 100%, then 4 subs for every destroyer, is that fine? I only want to stop naval invasions with them after all and the germans didnt naval invade me even once
You can remove that by selecting the small arrow symbol and selecting "careful" so your troops will avoid extending the frontline
Sounds like you are enjoying yourself! good stuff!