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Whether or not that would have meant open war is up for debate, but the simple fact is America wanted, to this day, to have a buffer between them and states which were against the US Ideals / sphere of influence.
So long as the US had the capacity to fight, I don't see why it would not have.
Even so there wouldn't be a peace deal without major concessions and it's doubtful the US would even come to the table for anything less than autonomy for at the very least the allied regions.
I think a realistic outcome for hoi4 would be france and the UK becoming facists puppets, with their respective empires broken up, if not entirely liberated, poland bein' made part of the reich and the soviet union being broken up and integrated puppet.
For a real world outcome, there would likely be a reverse Versailles, with France and Britain getting the short end of the stick, the breaking up of their empires, and massive territorial concessions all around, Germany would not be able to keep everything they took, at the point where they defeated the soviets they would be completely spent if they managed it at all so managing a world spanning empire would be out of the question.
germany would likely end up looking like the holy roman empire: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/f/f3/Holy_Roman_Empire_at_its_territorial_apex_%28per_consensus%29.svg/2000px-Holy_Roman_Empire_at_its_territorial_apex_%28per_consensus%29.svg.png
No argument from this American.
Think about it, sending 1-2m men over in transports would require a massive armada and would be virtually impossible to secure.
If they had opted to send a "small" strike force over, say 200k, they would have been left to fend for themselves for several days before reinforcements could come as the only viable starting location would be from Iceland