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The Enclave are not going to use a LIMITED supply of pre-war Enclave people on some Vault experiment. Bud Askins is Enclave, from West Tek, not Vault-Tec.
The "experiment" was to create "super managers" so there is no experiment conducted on the residents in Vault 32 and Vault 33 because it would ruin the training program.
The Enclave plan is to wipe out the survivors or outlast them by using time. The simple fact people were above would be why they did not let just anyone go out.
He said he knew who she was and where she was from. He never said anything about experiments being conducted in vaults. Birdie in Vault 4 was the one that asked what the experiment was.
MANAGEMENT.
The entire thing is about establishing iron fisted control without the populace realizing it. To manipulate their society over generations until they only want to do what you tell them to do, unquestioningly.
That's why there was no question about the raiders, despite them not acting like vault dwellers. Overseer says they're the 32 inhabitants, so okey dokey, it's true. And it took a massacre to get anyone to question, and how many questioned? *3*. Total. And one of them only questioned why she couldn't go get her dad. Another one decided he'd rather not rock the boat because he's scared.
So really, out of the whole vault, ONE person really seriously questioned the official story, even after all that.
Lucy didn't believe that she'd been lied to until she saw the feral husk of her mom and the necklace that her flesh had grown around.
After everything Lucy had already been through on the surface, it wasn't until /then/ that the conditioning broke.
It's pretty obvious the producers intend the purpose and history of the triple vaults to be one of the big mysteries of the show, but a lot of people have theorized that Moldaver was an Vault 31 icicle until the last few decades, around the time Hank MacLean would have been defrosted. I personally think it fills in a lot of blanks if you assume that everyone are all filling the roles we expect of Fallout NPCs, and Moldaver is the PC with more inherent "willpower", and made a bunch of utilitarian / chaotic evil decisions before Lucy was ever born.
Again, this is what you choose to believe...
The TV show even displays the rat outopia experiments clips inside the series.... If you don't know what the rat outopia experiments were, google them.... This is a strong hint that vaults 31-32-33 are rat outopia experiments.
The term "breeder vaults" is stupid. Vault Tek knows they can't keep the same DNA related people closed for centuries and them improving their DNA through interbreeding, that's impossible. Bud's buds are not Vault Tek's reason of beginning nuclear annihilation of the world, they are just an experiment. Bud was obsessed with management, so Vault Tek allowed him to run an experiment in order to create perfect management. Pretty sure even Bud is being lied to by Vault Tek in order to keep people frozen for centuries. No one is wiping the surface clean of life, and no matter how much they wait, they will never reconquer the surface.
Bud was an idiot in the show. He is not the leader of Vault Tek or the Enclave. He is the usual know-it-all higher executive who is so obssessed with his self that he ends up destroying himself (his body was removed, does he look like he is in control? Who would choose to have his body removed and place his brain inside a robot instead of being frozen in a pod?
In reality, the Enclave has been removed from shelters and vaults for centuries. They have been active in the Wasteland. And most if not all Vaults have been opened by the point the TV show begins (the TV show is the latest chronologically all games are earlier). There is no reason at all to keep people locked up in vaults 31-32-33. The only reason is to keep up with the rat outopia experiments.
But i am pretty sure what i am saying will be revealed in later seasons directly....
If memory serves, in 2 it mentions that the Enclave was notified when 8 opened normally. And when 13 opened abnormally (it was never supposed to open at all, after all, but shipping errors and all that). Tactics mentions that there are core systems monitoring the overall status of the individual vaults.
So, yeah, if the 'breeder vault' thing was true, they would have been unsealed at the same time as 8 or 15. Also, a 'breeder vault' would have been, logically speaking, freaking huge with massive, massive food and water production. It would have been designed to get a population large enough to immediately start a fledgeling nation or city-state. Not like 50 people.
Vault 76 is a control vault:
https://fallout.fandom.com/wiki/Vault_76
Multiple sources are saying what you believe is wrong.
Given that Moldaver is a renowned scientist before the war, she is probably well connected to many of scientific institutions all around the country, if not the world. It's not too much of a stretch to think she may have collaborated with the CIT pre and post war. Maybe she received similar augments like Kellogg did from the Institute.
You make good points regarding Bud and his breeding vaults. He could be part of the experiment. He may think he's running things, but he's actually just one of the lab rats, like all his little buds. But then I have a problem with Hank having the ability to nuke Shady Sands. You wouldn't expect one of the lab rats to have access to do that kind of damage. How would you explain that part? And why did he goto Vegas? Was he a mole House placed in Vault-Tec management? Did he get the nuke from RepConn Aerospace? Or maybe from West-Tek at Mariposa?
Didn't Lucy say there's like 50 people in 33? That's not a breeding vault. It's a thought control experiment and she's heavily brainwashed, just like everyone else from 33 except her brother.
Hank went to the surface after Lucy's mom took the kids and ran. Went up there with pre-war knowledge, and may well have known where an unused bomb in the area was. Or may not have actually done the nuking, but rather, it may have been coincidental timing.
And I have doubts that Hank works for House. I think he's heading for Vegas because he's targetted by the NCR's remnants, is a compromised Vault-Tec asset (which may also make him a target of the Enclave remnants), survived the most skilled bounty hunter in the area and the BoS by /stealing power armor from a dead knight/, which means he's now high on the BoS hitlist...
Dude is desperate. If Vegas is abandoned from some disaster, then it's a place to lay low, far enough from his immediate threat's reach. If House is still running it, he might offer everything he knows for protection. If it's run by Yes Man, then he may be hoping to blend in with the locals and vanish.
I don't remember her saying that, I've heard the vaults would hold 200 people. But maybe she's saying there are 50 left after the attack? Anyway, I am saying if your theory is correct how does that explain Hank having the ability to nuke Shady Sands? If Bud was a lab rat, then, as one of Bud's buds, he should also be a lab rat.
He pretty much admitted he nuked Shady Sands, and said he made the right decision. And how would his pre-war knowledge be of any use after 200+ years, after the the Great War? That wouldn't make sense.
The ghoul said he's running back to the people pulling the strings, and that makes sense. Why would he run all the way to Vegas to lay low? The wasteland is full of places to lay low. And how would he know the state of Vegas? He's been in a vault all this time. If he had that information, then someone from the outside was feeding him that information. I doubt he'd blend in with the locals and vanish. That'd mean his plot line would go nowhere.
Hank is most likely running to House for something. Which will be interesting because House's lore said he had a falling out with the other Enclave members.
Being in a vault does not mean information cannot reach you. Wilzig knew who Lucy was and where she was from, which means the vault had contact with the outside.
Moldaver also had compromised the vault communications to be able to intercept and present herself as the Vault 32 overseer.
Vanishing probably aint in his agenda and he may not need to depending upon how House greets him. Probably be a good idea to ditch the power armor if trying to lay low, lol.
The inbreeding in those two vaults were very high as Lucy herself alluded too. Was that the real experiment 'inbreeding'?