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There's a lot of speculation around the subject, static offline galaxies for instance... But the truth is, we don't know what the future holds. Pointless worrying about it at the moment.
There were talks, years ago, about what would Frontier do in that scenario. I believe the idea was that, in the event of an inminent shutdown, they would try and provide a static version of the galaxy that could be run locally so that, theoretically, people would be able to play offline.
I don't think there's been a single word about that since then. My guess? if it ever comes to that, i doubt Frontier would be in a finantial situation in which they would be able to do that. What would happen, i think, is that it would go free-to-play for a while, then all cosmetics would be unlocked, and a few weeks later, the game would be shut down, dead.
Goog news is that there's no indication of any of that to happen anytime soon, so there's that.
I doubt they'll let players set up their own servers, but who knows; I wouldn't count with that though.
It's not going to happen any time soon. FDevs just announced 4 new ships, and something very exciting to come this year. I doubt that they meant shutting down the game as something exciting for us to expect. ;)
Before game servers go down, FDevs might release an offline version of the game with a static galaxy. At least, that was a probable plan back then.
There are even older MMOs than Elite Dangerous still running by new publishers that made that their bussines model.
Just my thoughts on it.
That would mean either running the entire Background Galaxy Simulation locally (good luck with that) or playing in a dead galaxy where nothing ever happens, minor factions are either never in any state, or stuck in the same state forever.
Frankly, I would kind prefer to give it a respectful closure and just shut it down altogether, rather than having some gimped zombie version of it.
The problem is, the BGS controls pretty much everything else. what kinds of missions show up in the board, where are the combat zones, what signals spawn in any system...
Without the BGS, or rather, with a BGS frozen in time (like the "snapshots" they used in Betas before), nothing ever changes, and nothing you ever do has any effect whatsoever.
In my opinion, that's actually worse than nothing. I'd rather see the game gone in a blaze of glory, than exist in such a pathetic state.
Truth is, unless Frontier decides to release an Elite Dangerous II, which seems unlikely, their fortunes are pretty tightly bound to that of this game; their other projects might make a bunch of money on initial sale, but they don't have the longstanding brand recognition or dedicated playerbase to provide them any reliable income with which to keep their studio afloat when the side projects flop.
Now, another fiasco like Odyssey's initial release could, conceivably, kill the game. But, even with the diversification they seem to have gone for in the aftermath of that, killing the game would kill the studio. So until Frontier gets targeted by the nastier sort of corporate raider, I think it's fair to say they'll keep the servers open for the foreseeable future.
Just to be more clear about it or once the servers are shut down all you're going to be able to do is the tutorial nothing more nothing less because as far as I'm aware the PvP aspect of the game the arena I think it's called requires online services as well.
Therefore the software becomes useless and essentially abandon where I wouldn't even go as far as to call it that considering it doesn't even function without the server
At least most abandoned software can actually function . It's going to take a miracle for someone to reverse engineer the client to run on a custom server built from the ground up. As this is possible as it was done on fantasy Star online for the Dreamcast and PC back in the early mid 2000s