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Just make it so regardless of loss or win you get that bonus anyway.
Not doing that just leads to increased toxicity.
if we are to assume every single match has a 50/50 chance of win loss each of those is completely independent, when you have lost a match there is no weight added to the scale to make up for it with a win, you could lose every match you play for the rest of your life and that would still be perfectly fair randomness, games which actually have in built logic to prevent loss or win streaks are explicitly not random
What mode/br were you playing/were you trying to do a challenge, or did your premium account recently expire?
Everything can be calculated, and it killed WoT. They turned it into a farce.
People want to win, people have to accept that they pay to win. There is the money potential in these games.
How far down this road Warthunder is, I can not tell. I like it so far, but I don't care enough about winning, because I have little control and I'm not a good player. When it get's too obvious, I will leave. A loss streak of 14 is significant. Let's hope it gets better for you. Don't take it personally too quick.
The players play the game, but who plays their minds? It is the snail.