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My first 5 points are pretty much always the first 5 orders which can usually be completed in year 2. But those first 5 points provide us with 4 blueprints that are often mostly food and industry. With some luck there is a useful service building in there.
Its the next 2 blueprints from the 7th and 8th reputation that greatly increase the chance we are getting more service buildings and they are they key to a quick victory. To get those blueprints asap, its valuable to solve some glade event(s) for reputation, to send a cache to the queen and top it off with some early resolve from reputation.
Then, if possible, you want to have those service buildings (as well as an extra hearth) erected before the start year 3 trader leaves so that you will the city score to attract advanced traders. If so, you can call them in and buy from them the goods for your service building which means the final resolve push can start in year 3. And for that you want to not miss out on any of your first 5 orders (hence you need that favoring because if you have it, the resolve orders are generally easy) and every bit of rep you can get on top of that (by favoring) is very valuable.
Of course in a no orders game, its all different and year 4 wins at anything but really low difficulty are absolutely not to be expected. (not even year 5)
Actually had a funny situation the other day where I needed to get Lizard rep up to 14 for an order when I only had one; the solution I found was simple and funny to me, and that was making them the person tending the Hearth, which gave them just enough to hit that point.
First made cornerstone that gives me 25 raw food every season which was enough to never produce any raw nor advanced food myself.
Then got to make one that gave 2 extra resolve from religion per 80 blight points, resulting on ~30 resolve religion midway year 3. It gave me 3 impatience points as an added bonus :p. Too bad i had to burn those cysts or it could have been a P20 year 3 victory.
I hope its no cooncidence that there was a minable resource in my starting glade.
Now im looking at a forsaken town event. Looks exciting !
It was; the last one I played didn't have me starting with one, so getting the Forge going took a while.
On my first run, I didn't find a single bit of ore until after opening 5 glades, and then I didn't find another until the first one ran out (QHT, no mine upgrades).
Laters runs were not quite as unlucky as that, but I have never ever had ore in the starting glade, nor the first opened. It always takes opening multiple glades to find a deposit.
For a map that's focused on mining, you'd think ore would have a higher spawn chance. But that does not seem to be the case.
The first one I think I had Copper in my starting area, the second had none, and any others haven't been notable enough to remember. :P