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Seriously, there is no much info about Godwyn actions, no?
Marika wanted certain aristocrats taken out of the picture so she may consolidate power away from the Elden Ring and towards the golden order instead/wanted Radagon taken out of the picture somehow(how exactly would this even work?). However Ranni intended, for whatever reason, to kill Godwyn.
We know Marika shattered the Elden Ring shortly after his, so either something went wrong that caused her to do that, or that was her planned attempt to kill the Elden Beast (check Radagon intro, its Marika on an Elden Beast runearc, half destroyed, so she failed).
If Marika was upset by Godwyn's death that would explain the black knives going after Ranni and co. As has already been suggested, Ranni only seems to have supplied the assassins with their weapons, not trained them or set them up personally. Alecto's evergaol at the place only Ranni has access to further reinforces that she had a falling out with the BKAs.
And if Ranni does not set them up and Marika did not want Godwyn dead, why would they kill him?
1. The Assassins and Marika are from Numen, and both supposedly had close ties to each other, as described in the Black Knife armor.
2. The Assassins are also described as "scions" of the Eternal City, as said by Rogier, but Marika is not (to my knowledge). A scion is defined as a descendant or heir of something.
But wait: That's confusing, right? If Marika and the Assassins are Numen, why is Marika not referred to as a scion of the Eternal City while the Assassins are? Well, it could be that the Nox (residents of the Eternal City) are actually the Numen - that they are one and the same.
3. How could the Nox and Numen be the same people? "Numen" is an actual word and is defined as divinity or divine will. So maybe the Numen are the Nox who accepted the Greater Will and the Nox were those who resisted it and were subsequently punished by the angry Outer God. And maybe Marika begrudgingly accepted the Greater Will in order to not be punished herself. But naturally, she and the Nox wanted revenge.
4. Perhaps that's why Marika is referred to as Marika, the Eternal. The "Eternal" part could be referring to the Eternal City, too.
5. So Marika pretends to be all cool and good with the GW, doing its bidding and acting as its vessel. But secretly she hates the thing and may have been plotting to destroy it all along, as alluded to by Hewg's dialogue:
"Use my masterpiece to slay a god. That is all that I have lived for. And my promise to Queen Marika."
6. Ranni, being an Empyrean and potential replacement for Marika, could have been working with Marika to achieve that goal. I even remember one of her towers being literally connected to one of the Eternal Cities (could be wrong though).
7. But things get a bit confusing when you consider Godwyn, Marika's favorite child. If Marika and Ranni had the same goal, I guess at some point Ranni decided to betray her and/or their paths diverged somehow. Ranni had the Assassins kill Godwyn, and Marika was so stricken with grief that she destroyed the Elden Ring - or maybe that was the plan all along (we know Marika is cruel and perhaps she didn't even love Godwyn after all).
8. This all makes my head spin and I need to sit down.
SIDE NOTE: What if the Assassins or Marika herself are actually Mimic Tears, which is what the Nox tried to create and ultimately perfect to create their own lord and beat the Greater Will? We know Marika is able to create another version of herself (Radagon), and maybe there only ever was one Assassin (Alecto?) who basically did the same and duplicated herself to create the others? Maybe the Nox created Marika, had her successfully infiltrate the Greater Will's inner circle, and eventually destroy it (which she partly did by shattering the Ring.)
That would be a total mind ♥♥♥♥. And I can't believe I typed that much.
Makes sense. Once she got what she wanted, she had to tie up lose ends. Man, what a ♥♥♥♥♥!
I tend to agree with much of that, although I think the Numen were first based on the character creator saying they came from somewhere else, so I personally think the Nox were either a splinter group worshiping thier Stars or perhaps simply the decedents of the Numen similar to how the Astrologers evolved into the Sorcerers.
As for Marika and her children, given her quote about them being sacrifices if they were found unworthy as well as the implied other dead children (per the walking mausoleums) ... I can see her ordering the death of Godwyn as a first strike against the Golden Order, and Ranni betraying everyone by using that death to keep her soul alive.
I don't think any characters are actually Mimics though, partially because I understand there was a mimic quest that was cut content plus the descriptions talk about the Nox attempting to create a lord, but I don't think they ever succeeded.
...
Although I don't completely agree with his timeline, I do like the work the Tarnished Arcologist does in analyzing the building styles and pointing out that the three Eternal Cities fit the overworld map very well. Including the one in Lydell that looks like it would finish the city and connect the main gate.
Thank you for reading!
Ranni is the worst