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If you don't confed they might end up getting killed by vlad and you lose points that way anyway. So there's also that to consider.
1. AI factions tend to be reasonable "meat shields" so you can focus on one threat at a time.
2. AI upgrades and grows settlements for free for you. The later you confederate, the higher tier settlements you will get.
Generally, I suggest to start confederations with the closest factions and then "grow outwards". So your first priority for it would be Middenland and Wissenland, then you can proceed with the Golden Order and Talabecland, etc. Especially heavily contested territories like Stirland and Nordland are very "toxic" to confederate early: You will invest tons into upgrading and protecting them, without much return.
Good points, thats what I was thinking with Stirland, it opens up my borders to a whole bunch more enemies if I confed them.
Another issue is, that bringing up Fealty is way easier with positive imperial authority. If you stack the positive value up and start confederating later, you can "snowball" confederations one after the other and tank the -3 IA penalty with ease, without dropping into neutral or negative values.