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"Windows 10 will reach end of support on October 14, 2025. The current version, 22H2, will be the final version of Windows 10, and all editions will remain in support with monthly security update releases through that date. Existing LTSC releases will continue to receive updates beyond that date based on their specific lifecycles."
Valve has continues support for other versions of Windows about 3-4 years after Microsoft ended support. This also tends to follow along with with support of Chromium Embedded Framework (CEF) for those OSs.
This points to a very rough estimate Steam not working on Windows 10 in 2028/2029.
But Valve has never stopped supporting a OS at the same time, usually they continue to support it for another 3-4 years, just as they did with Win 98, XP , VISTA and now Win 7.
So i dont expect the Steam client to switch to Windows 11 or higher before 2028/29 or so.
With Win10 and 11 being pretty similar odds are it's going at least more extra years than Win7 which was originally Vista Service Pack 3.
Others have guessed late 2020s or early 2030s, if we use history as an indicator that sounds about right.
Not until the userbase drops to single digit percentages. Win 10 currently has 60% share of Steam userbase. So likely around 2029/2030.
MICROSOFT will support Windows 10 version 1809 RS5 LTSC until the end of 2028 with security updates. This version was fully compatible with Steam before this new UI update, but I don't know the current status.
2025, but Steam may hang on for awhile
https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/lifecycle/products/windows-10-home-and-pro