Always Crewmate Bug?

[Ominous]

I played a hell of a lot of game tonight (like maybe 30 over 4 hours) all in one lobby. I never got imposter once. Some got it 3 in a row before they left. Im wondering if it was bugged? Was going to leave and come back again but never got around to it.

[Azade12]

There are hackers

[Frostmagic]

hey man i came here with the same idea in my mind

i took track on piece of paper how many games, today i play 25 games and i get impostor 1 time
yesterday i play 10 game i get 0 impostor

i only play in server with 2 impostor

i wonder does this mean u have 20% chance to get it or 10% chance for first pick then 11,111% on 2nd pick?

[skibidi]

Originally posted by Frostmagic:

hey man i came here with the same idea in my mind

i took track on piece of paper how many games, today i play 25 games and i get impostor 1 time
yesterday i play 10 game i get 0 impostor

i only play in server with 2 impostor

i wonder does this mean u have 20% chance to get it or 10% chance for first pick then 11,111% on 2nd pick?

play 100 games. then tally up the times you are imposter. You should get 10 imposter games.
The way the game decides imposter works, just dont expect to get 3 games in a row.

[Thundercracker]

Originally posted by Frostmagic:

hey man i came here with the same idea in my mind

i took track on piece of paper how many games, today i play 25 games and i get impostor 1 time
yesterday i play 10 game i get 0 impostor

i only play in server with 2 impostor

i wonder does this mean u have 20% chance to get it or 10% chance for first pick then 11,111% on 2nd pick?

2 imposters is 2/10 or 1/5.

play 50 games with 2 imposters and tell me how many times you get it. ten times, so a total of 500 games.

probabilities do not "remember" previous results. so every time you "flip the coin" you have the same chances.

in other words, if you flip a coin, and it comes up heads 9 times, you still have a 50% chance to get heads next flip.

[Frostmagic]

alright i will get back to you guys at the end of the week hahaha

no rly ill get my notebook and a nice pen lets do this boys

someone else want to do it too?

[Thundercracker]

Originally posted by Frostmagic:

alright i will get back to you guys at the end of the week hahaha

no rly ill get my notebook and a nice pen lets do this boys

someone else want to do it too?

dont really need to, game tracks stats. i have 22 imposter rounds vs 234 crew rounds. as i only play default settings, that's roughly a rate of 1/10 and it agrees with RNG probability.

[Frostmagic]

ok sry dude u shut me up i will whine at the mirror in the future

[Thundercracker]

Originally posted by Frostmagic:

ok sry dude u shut me up i will whine at the mirror in the future

good idea, it's a bit less publicly embarrasing.

[Ominous]

oh right, a 25% chance for imposter if its always a full 10 game start with 2 imposters. So i was tracking quite below the probability. So it was either a bug with the lobby or really bad luck.

[SQUID_MCDIG CLASSY]

Originally posted by Azade12:

There are hackers

Yeh ever since this game blewup I started seeing a lot of hackers. I found out who the killer was so I pushed the emergency button as he was chasing me it jumped to "no one was ejected" so I'm like wth we didn't even get to vote or talk. Then there was "body found" and it was white, but white was still alive and white is all like "uhhhhh wtf" then the guy who was impostor said I did it and I got voted out and we lost.

[LeoWashington]

Originally posted by Dr Gori:

Originally posted by Frostmagic:

hey man i came here with the same idea in my mind

i took track on piece of paper how many games, today i play 25 games and i get impostor 1 time
yesterday i play 10 game i get 0 impostor

i only play in server with 2 impostor

i wonder does this mean u have 20% chance to get it or 10% chance for first pick then 11,111% on 2nd pick?

2 imposters is 2/10 or 1/5.

play 50 games with 2 imposters and tell me how many times you get it. ten times, so a total of 500 games.

probabilities do not "remember" previous results. so every time you "flip the coin" you have the same chances.

in other words, if you flip a coin, and it comes up heads 9 times, you still have a 50% chance to get heads next flip.

Bro you have to multiply the probabilities of each chance occurring. Its not just 50/50. Its 50/50 on the first one, but the second one, probability of you being imposter twice in a row, or not, is even less. The more times you are not the imposter, should mean the MORE likely you are to become one.

[Thundercracker]

Originally posted by LeoWashington:

Bro you have to multiply the probabilities of each chance occurring. Its not just 50/50. Its 50/50 on the first one, but the second one, probability of you being imposter twice in a row, or not, is even less. The more times you are not the imposter, should mean the MORE likely you are to become one.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gambler%27s_fallacy
sure, what you described is the probability of any one result coming out in a sequence, but what you're forgetting is that every other possible result has the same probability.
5 heads in a row is as likely as 5 tails in a row is as likely as any combo of heads or tales.

and furthermore, the "coin" (RNG in our case) does not remember prior results. any time you flip it, it is the same odds.

when you join a game, you always have the same chances to be imposter, given the same number of players and same number of possible imposters. so, in the usual example of 10 players with one imposter, it is always 1/10, every single time.