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I have recently arrived at the same conclusion. Have paused this campaign while considering options
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=2881464010
So, my advice is conquer Greece, Crete and everything you can, specially Epirus, before Rome. Integrate cultures to boost your levies. Then build fortresses wisely. They will stall Rome when the time comes. Pay attention to the war goal when Rome attacks and defend or reconquer that land when possible. Should things go well, in time you will be able to sign a white peace. DONT. Conquer a few territories then sign it including your fresh Roman conquered land. Build new fortresses. And prepare yourself for the next time.
Also, its very sweet to attack Rome while Rome is fighting a civil war. Thats your chance.
Needless to say, money to recruit some mercenaries will help you.
In time, you will conquer Rome.
But taking land from Macedon, Thrace and the residual Antigonids would have been a stretch.
Sometimes the biggest deterrence is having multiple allies.
It was insane. All the majors were still fighting amongst themselves and there appeared to be no concerted resistance.
As it happens Rome hasn't declared war on Sparta yet. But that is only a question of time and frankly, judging by the size of the doomstack I saw, it won't matter how many forts I improve or mercenaries I can recruit. They will not be stopped by me, not even with the support of Egypt.
I watched the first 4 episodes of this before starting the campaign, and a short Sparta stream by Lord Forwind, to see if my proposed Crete invasion opening made sense.
They both did the same so I figured I was on the right track.
I have just skimmed the final episode of RBG's campaign. The year is about 540, and he is pretty much in the same position as I am, except he is allied with both Egypt and Carthage whereas I am currently allied with just Egypt.
But the extent of Rome's expansion is comparable.
So I don't fell so bad seeing this.
Rome has expanded too much. If Rome is tupid enough to declare war while fighting another war and her levies are spread maybe you can survive.
At some point, even if you try to avoid it, there will be a major battle. Thats when Rome will do the only thing the IA seems good at: sending levies to that battle to overwhelm you. Thats where a merc with real high martial skill and fortresses to prevent free movement of the stacks of doom will prove determinant.
Even doing everything well, there is a big chance to be stomped by Rome. Thats why Sparta is labelled as a very hard playthough.
Getting hold of enough of Greece depends on the outcome of the diadochi war as well.
I think I'll call it a day with this campaign. I know I missed a number of opportunities along the way to this point, and there are things I would look to do differently another time.
Epirus is epic yes, I had one great game as Epirus and it takes a lot of timing like [__h.stickeye_] says, sparta is a lot harder and takes a lot more timing or you need to find a very good ally that is reliable and won't let you down when Roman legions arrive...