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I doubt it's been rotting away.
But if the Noble arrived recently ; why the place is supposed to be "Dangerous" ; the samurai looking for O'rin says that his master warned him about how dangerous the Mibu area is long ago.
And it's weird that Mibu would have been called "Village in the Mist" before the Noble even arrived to create the fog ; as we see when he is killed, there is no mist left at all.
If the dragonspring pilgrimage is the same thing as Mibu's wedding ritual (which I'm not sure of) then the Mist Noble wouldn't hamper the procession, it's how his people get their sustenance after all.
That said I think Mibu has been isolated for a long time and almost forgotten tho, Sekiro has to jump down a hole to get there and I don't think that's feasible for non-ninjas... The dragonspring pilgrimage is something else from the bridal procession, the first idol in the Hirata estate is the Dragonspring Idol so I guess the procession is headed somewhere near Hirata. The place is full of lakes, rivers, springs and carps after all.
The Mist Noble could come from the fountainhead but could also come from Mibu, we see the current priest transform into a noble so we know it's possible. He has been in the forest for a long time keeping the mist up and "fool" (as the dying monk states) Mibu villagers keeping them disconnected from the influence of Buddha and the outside world.
dont miss the other videos about Sekiro´s factions on this Youtuber´s channel, some are breathtaking.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k7HfotNxG38
(and dont forget that we all walk on thin ice here. there are just a few hints in this game. there are a lot of open questions... assumptions... opinions.)