Counter-Strike 2

Counter-Strike 2

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Pepe Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:36am
Souvenir Cases Drop Rates?
Is there any estimated percent drop rates on the weapons in Souvenir Cases? Because it looks to me they are worse than the worst Dota 2 treasure.
Last edited by Pepe; Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:42am
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Gompe Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:41am 
Cases don't drop from watching majors anymore. They changed the way it works. You now need to buy the major viewer pass in order to get them via paying, or guessing correctly on the Pick'ems challenge.
Pepe Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:42am 
Originally posted by Gompe:
Cases don't drop from watching majors anymore. They changed the way it works. You now need to buy the major viewer pass in order to get them via paying, or guessing correctly on the Pick'ems challenge.
Sorry, I think I've messed up my wording, I was referring to the weapons drop rate in a souvenir case. I'll rephrase.
Last edited by Pepe; Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:42am
𝓐мė𝗇𝗈 Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:47am 
Originally posted by Pepe:
Originally posted by Gompe:
Cases don't drop from watching majors anymore. They changed the way it works. You now need to buy the major viewer pass in order to get them via paying, or guessing correctly on the Pick'ems challenge.
Sorry, I think I've messed up my wording, I was referring to the weapons drop rate in a souvenir case. I'll rephrase.
take a lesson form me, wasted 3k last major, nothing good, that is your odds
Last edited by 𝓐мė𝗇𝗈; Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:47am
Gompe Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:49am 
Originally posted by Pepe:
Originally posted by Gompe:
Cases don't drop from watching majors anymore. They changed the way it works. You now need to buy the major viewer pass in order to get them via paying, or guessing correctly on the Pick'ems challenge.
Sorry, I think I've messed up my wording, I was referring to the weapons drop rate in a souvenir case. I'll rephrase.

iirc the odds of getting a red out of the case is like 1/3000.

Consumer Grade Gray 80% 4 in 5
Industrial Grade Blue 16% 1 in 6
Mil-Spec Grade Dark Blue 3.2% 1 in 31
Restricted Purple 0.64% 1 in 156
Classified Pink 0.128% 1 in 781
Covert Red 0.0256% 1 in 3906
Pepe Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:58am 
Originally posted by DjiNN:
Originally posted by Pepe:
Sorry, I think I've messed up my wording, I was referring to the weapons drop rate in a souvenir case. I'll rephrase.
take a lesson form me, wasted 3k last major, nothing good, that is your odds
Too late. At least it wasn't 3k.
Originally posted by Gompe:
Originally posted by Pepe:
Sorry, I think I've messed up my wording, I was referring to the weapons drop rate in a souvenir case. I'll rephrase.

iirc the odds of getting a red out of the case is like 1/3000.

Consumer Grade Gray 80% 4 in 5
Industrial Grade Blue 16% 1 in 6
Mil-Spec Grade Dark Blue 3.2% 1 in 31
Restricted Purple 0.64% 1 in 156
Classified Pink 0.128% 1 in 781
Covert Red 0.0256% 1 in 3906
Thanks for the info.

I've opened 66 cases (Vertigo 2021), 20 from one match, 46 from another. I got ZERO Dark Blue. It looks to me the odds are worse than 1 in 31 for a Dark Blue. This is total scam at this point. Seems like the cases are just for big bucks streamers nowadays.

1 in 31... it's not quite 3.2%... I could still get the 3 blue at the end of 100 strike, just gamba more, right. Or I'll get all 32 blue after 968....
Last edited by Pepe; Mar 19, 2024 @ 11:03am
𝓐мė𝗇𝗈 Mar 19, 2024 @ 11:01am 
[/quote] Seems like the cases are just for big bucks streamers nowadays. [/quote]
u are correct
Gompe Mar 19, 2024 @ 11:04am 
Personally I would never fall for valves gambling. The odds are so bad, just buy what you want.
Pepe Mar 19, 2024 @ 11:11am 
Originally posted by Gompe:
Personally I would never fall for valves gambling. The odds are so bad, just buy what you want.
I've stopped playing and buying anything in CS way before the end of CS:GO. Sold everything and used the money for buying games and Dota 2 stuff. I just started again to play deathmatch, a bit. And I got hooked seeing the live stream today... They got me good. Not only I'm not buying anything Valve, I'll just sell everything in Dota 2 and buy games or maybe some hardware, if I get enough. Valve is so terrible lately. Last time I've sold some items, I couldn't use the money to gift games to friends, but it was working with new fresh poured money. They've changed for the worse.
Last edited by Pepe; Mar 19, 2024 @ 11:24am
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Date Posted: Mar 19, 2024 @ 10:36am
Posts: 8