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You mean $230 or 230 cases?
Look in the Steam Market for gloves you like and buy them. At least you know exactly what you're getting.
we cant and wont decide that for you
You do not multiply the percentage. Lets say you have a 60% chance of something and you try 100 times. Its not 6000% chance.
Its been a while since my lessons in probablility, but i can for certain say that that is not the way it goes.