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leaf dog

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:24pm

Case Opening Rumors???

ive heard a bunch of rumors about case opening. there are a ton, so i'm going to put them in list format.

you have a better chance of getting good items in the first 5-10 cases a player opens in his CS:GO lifetime. (on another case-related discussion ive seen a guy who said he got an m9 bayonet in his first case. and yours truly got a famas djinn (pink) in the third case he ever opened.)
cases dropped by the game have better items in them then cases bought on the market. the person who showed me this rumor then proceeded to back it up by posting a youtube link of a streamer doing a mega unboxing, and the streamer opened 3000 market cases in a row without a knife. another guy on the same thread said the rumor was true, he had tested it and he did have the items as proof... personally, i like to think this rumor is true.
the times rumor. the times rumor says you have better item chances when you click the open case button right on the :00 second of a minute, and even higher chances when the minute ends with a 5 or 0. (ex. 3:55 or 12:10) this rumor has been tested by a few youtubers, and some even claim it's actually true... :o there are also some "magic" times where your chances are increased even more! the only magic time i could find was 7:45 PM. maybe someone with an atomic clock can test it? this rumor is very spooky...
the more cases you open in one session, the less chance you have of getting good items. a user on a knife chances thread told me about this one. see 5th rumor.
if you are a big cs:go case opening youtuber/streamer, you have smaller chances of getting a knife. ive seen way too many stories about random, ordinary people getting a knife in their first few cases, and way too many stories about streamers never getting knifes.

[WARNING: CONSPIRACY THEORY AHEAD. PUT YOUR TINFOIL HAT ON.]

what if valve knows about that streamer who once accidentally showed his paypal account on camera, only to reveal he had over $200,000? what if the game analizes your case opening patterns and edits your chances? weird...

there are a bunch more, but it would take forever to list them all. can someone test these rumors? thanks!

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Showing 1-15 of 20 comments

RIBBED FOR PLEASURE has Counter-Strike 2

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:26pm

hey man, you got a spare tinfoil hat??

cdF0rReal

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:26pm

None of these are true...

Darkknight -e- has Counter-Strike 2

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:27pm

All false.

Mr beastgamer+ has Counter-Strike 2

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:27pm

they are all fake but maybe the 1st one is real because they might try to reel you in to unbox soem more because the first case I ever opened was a red

TheDomoBox has Counter-Strike 2

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:30pm

Originally posted by cYVi:
they are all fake but maybe the 1st one is real because they might try to reel you in to unbox soem more because the first case I ever opened was a red

1sy one can be true. My friend on his first ever unbox got an M4A1-S Factory New Cyrex when it was worth 90$.

Last edited by TheDomoBox; Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:31pm

Darkknight -e- has Counter-Strike 2

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:32pm

Just luck I assure you.

Vvacky

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:34pm

agree with first one, all other are false... i opnened in first 10 stat trak blue lam ( these days 20E) and m4 X- ray in first 10 cases since that im almost every time in minus doesnt matter how many i open in one row or bought or dropped cases. etc...

dentron

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:40pm

The time thing actually may have some grounds in reality, usually when something has a truly random value (maybe like CSGO cases) it has to be based on something truly random, like time of opening a case. I remember when I was learning some basic programming the book said that to get an easy truly random number, you would set the algorithm up so when you activate it, it pulls the specific time (even down to milliseconds) and can generate a number off of that, and if the number is in a small boundary you get something good. So CSGO could use something like that.

Although another explanation is the CSGO item server uses pseudorandom numbers, like numbers in a very long list that go in a "random" order and every time someones opens a case it goes a tick down the list and it could be something good based on which number is next. So it could choose every say, 1000 cases, to give a knife to a person.

Granted, I am just theorycrafting here and for all we know they could use actual chickens pecking at buttons to decide case openings.

camper

Jun 18, 2015 @ 4:50pm

Originally posted by rpaiello:
maybe someone with an atomic clock can test it? this rumor is very spooky...

I can test if you'll give me a key

, but if you have smartphone and install app which shows a clock with seconds, the difference between radio sync clock and smartphone is about 2s.

Btw I opened awp boom stattrak ft in one of my first cases (about 1-5). I believe it's random.