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Skill issues.
I do have to say that I think the armory pass looks worth it too, but only if you you already have prime to squeeze out some extra nickels from your playtime. The limited-time deagle and the cases look like they are worthwhile to spend your stars on and make more than you put in. Everything else looks like a gamble and I wouldn't recommend it.
I would say that even if the armory pass isn't currently "worth it", I would still get it for the limited-time item. Then hold on to it and sell later, when you can't get it anymore. It will probably be profitable eventually, until then you have a decent looking deagle skin to play with. The question is just if it's better than cases, who knows? I think it will be like always: hold on to rare items and you will see nice profits eventually. That's a bet I'm willing to make.
Name a PC game without cheaters. Once you get out of silver it really doesn't feel worse than other games. Placement matches are screwed up though yea.
Basically, everything is correct.
But there's no actual need to go for battle pass. Let's say, you'll go for deagle skin and cases. For now it's about half of battle pass price. Yea, it will rise in time, but in a moment you lose more than you get.
So why don't you just buy deagle and some cases at market and waste less money and time to grind xp for all these "rewards"? Looks like much more profitable for me. The only difference is microchance to get higher float of skin, but that's for gambling lovers.
edit jen 17, 23:17 : and gold saucer of FFXIV im burned out of too and maybe something else