SHADOW CASE

[CORISCO]

How and where can I see the chances of each weapon of the shadow case?

[Jacky]

Total Cases: 2023
BLUE: 1594 (78.79%)
Purple: 343 (16.96%)
Pink: 57 (2.82%)
Red: 20 (0.99%)
Knife: 9 (0.44%)

(This may not be true for all cases also study is +1 year old)
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/GlobalOffensive/comments/228117/new_2000_case_opening_study

[Docent]

all takes of numbers dropped cases?

[CORISCO]

Originally posted by Jacky:

Total Cases: 2023
BLUE: 1594 (78.79%)
Purple: 343 (16.96%)
Pink: 57 (2.82%)
Red: 20 (0.99%)
Knife: 9 (0.44%)

(This may not be true for all cases also study is +1 year old)
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/GlobalOffensive/comments/228117/new_2000_case_opening_study

thank you my friend! but, doesnt Valve tell any kind of official probability?

[AmericaHasFallen]

Originally posted by CORISCO:

Originally posted by Jacky:

Total Cases: 2023
BLUE: 1594 (78.79%)
Purple: 343 (16.96%)
Pink: 57 (2.82%)
Red: 20 (0.99%)
Knife: 9 (0.44%)

(This may not be true for all cases also study is +1 year old)
Source: https://www.reddit.com/r/GlobalOffensive/comments/228117/new_2000_case_opening_study

thank you my friend! but, doesnt Valve tell any kind of official probability?

if they did, people would know how crippy their odds are....

[Boon]

Chances:
something ♥♥♥♥♥♥ - 95.5%
something ok - 4.4%
something actually good where you can profit - 0.1%

[COUNT FREAKULA]

They say tf2 unusuals have a 1% percent chance of uncratement but in terms of cs go, I don't know

[pAn aLe [HRTF R.I.P. for now]]

To make it more clear it all goes for a probability. As numbers are could seem statistically reliable they are not reliably mathematically. You could get 99,9(to infinity) probability and end up with 0,0(to infinity)1 chances of getting The Blue.
As it goes for multiple cases opening you can always expect at least 10-30% in return.

[RealHuhn]

Opening cases is just dumb. Even pink skins don't guarantee a profit and you can buy like 5-10 decent blues for the price of one key on the market.

[Hambloko]

It's a huge gamble. I gave up opening cases a long time ago, I've gotten better stuff on drops that weren't cases than stuff I've gotten from cases. If you get a shadow case just sell it.

[CORISCO]

Originally posted by Hambloko:

It's a huge gamble. I gave up opening cases a long time ago, I've gotten better stuff on drops that weren't cases than stuff I've gotten from cases. If you get a shadow case just sell it.

I'm not a gambling enthusiastic but.... tell me if im wrong: a shadow case costs 1.28 USD. If I sell it I wont be more rich lol. Otherwise, a key costs 2.83 USD and if I buy it I wont be poor just 'cause of that, but I have a chance (DAMN LIL CHANCE I KNOW) to get a weapon that can make me rich, like any pink startrak stuff.

Its risky but its not dumb at all to open rare cases

[Zeeve]

Originally posted by CORISCO:

Originally posted by Hambloko:

It's a huge gamble. I gave up opening cases a long time ago, I've gotten better stuff on drops that weren't cases than stuff I've gotten from cases. If you get a shadow case just sell it.

I'm not a gambling enthusiastic but.... tell me if im wrong: a shadow case costs 1.28 USD. If I sell it I wont be more rich lol. Otherwise, a key costs 2.83 USD and if I buy it I wont be poor just 'cause of that, but I have a chance (DAMN LIL CHANCE I KNOW) to get a weapon that can make me rich, like any pink startrak stuff.

Its risky but its not dumb at all to open rare cases

just one thing. shadow cases aint rare

[CORISCO]

Originally posted by Zeeve:

Originally posted by CORISCO:

I'm not a gambling enthusiastic but.... tell me if im wrong: a shadow case costs 1.28 USD. If I sell it I wont be more rich lol. Otherwise, a key costs 2.83 USD and if I buy it I wont be poor just 'cause of that, but I have a chance (DAMN LIL CHANCE I KNOW) to get a weapon that can make me rich, like any pink startrak stuff.

Its risky but its not dumb at all to open rare cases

just one thing. shadow cases aint rare

I know, but it doesnt drop a lot

[Zeeve]

Originally posted by CORISCO:

Originally posted by Zeeve:

just one thing. shadow cases aint rare

I know, but it doesnt drop a lot

there isnt a lot on the market right now but eventually it will be as common as all other cases

[CORISCO]

ok, I just found one Bravo Operation Case LOL

[COUNT FREAKULA]

Originally posted by CORISCO:

ok, I just found one Bravo Operation Case LOL

That's where it's really at......