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Nope, it's really random.
My biggest win was a csgo case worth around 98$, but on average I get items for 2$ to 5$ and also the 0.03$ skins.
If you play on more accounts , chances are bigger .
I got last week amber fade P2000 which worth about 6 euros , and on another account winter case which worth 9 euros .
When you doing trade ups with trash skins , your chances for better skin drops are also better .