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I buy the keys for $2 and some change. I got skins worth 11 cents. I have been doing it since i started playing and i just lose more money.
It's gambling. You're going to waste your money. If you want to invest in skins, buy them off the market low and resell them high. This is also gambling but way better odds.
U can get your prime money back when u sell some cases so after a while it’s gonna be free ;)
And don’t forget u can play premiere and MM
Also Prime status makes you play only with people who also bought Prime status, so it reduces amount of cheaters from free version of the game.
It's probably wise to just sit on your drops for a while and wait for content updates that will bring back the people's interest and an increase in case prices with it