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"What are the chances of getting a knife from a CSGO case?
With the cost of CS:GO case keys currently sitting at $2.34 (If you buy them from the game itself) and the odds of a knife being roughly 1 in 400 (0.25 x 400 = 100. #Quickmaths), this means that you would need to spend, on average, $936 on keys to 'guarantee' a knife drop."
% of a yellow is 0.257%, rounded up.