whats the chance to get a knife if i open 40 cases

[2wo12en]

I want to open new prisma case may be 40-45 cases
so whats chance to get a knife

[Laissez Faire]

Oprindeligt skrevet af aDN:

I want to open new prisma case may be 40-45 cases
so whats chance to get a knife

its 0.26% PER CASE

so if you are lucky you can get a knife from the fist case or never :D

[B-o-B]

Apparently a lot are lucky around here, they never seem to have the evidence of un'boxing though....

Just take the recurring number "2"
Open 2 cases
Feel disgust 2 times.
Then drop the 2 thing and trade for a knife with the keys.
Ask the community if you get an offer.

[Vault Hunter 101]

You have around 0.3% chance to get a knife per case :P

[Diablo2604]

Oprindeligt skrevet af JCyTe:

Are you retarded? Odds do NOT change based on quantity. Did you fail math in school or something? If you happen to be talking about the chance for getting a knife, that could be wrong, i was simply referring to the person who said it was 0.2%.

Hello r***** alert r***** alert, do you really think that if you would open 100 000 000 cases your odds of getting a knife would still be only 0.2%?

[Ducc]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Schnabeltier:

you have a higher chance that you'll get 40-45 3 cent blue ones

Edit: maybe just buy a knife instead of 40-45 keys

truth.

[Ducc]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

Oprindeligt skrevet af JCyTe:

Are you retarded? Odds do NOT change based on quantity. Did you fail math in school or something? If you happen to be talking about the chance for getting a knife, that could be wrong, i was simply referring to the person who said it was 0.2%.

Hello r***** alert r***** alert, do you really think that if you would open 100 000 000 cases your odds of getting a knife would still be only 0.2%?

it would, but PER CASE, NOT the whole unboxing

[inzoi junkie]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Schnabeltier:

you have a higher chance that you'll get 40-45 3 cent blue ones

Edit: maybe just buy a knife instead of 40-45 keys

3 cents blue skins dont exist

[Ducc]

Oprindeligt skrevet af CODE LEDARTRIX:

Oprindeligt skrevet af Schnabeltier:

you have a higher chance that you'll get 40-45 3 cent blue ones

Edit: maybe just buy a knife instead of 40-45 keys

3 cents blue skins dont exist

light blue

[Diablo2604]

Oprindeligt skrevet af yoet:

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

Hello r***** alert r***** alert, do you really think that if you would open 100 000 000 cases your odds of getting a knife would still be only 0.2%?

it would, but PER CASE, NOT the whole unboxing

I already SAID THAT in previous post!!! Chance of opening a knife is about 0.2% and if you open 40 cases you have about 8% chance of getting a knife.

[Dolphin]

The typical odds for getting a rare special item from a case is 1/400 so opening only 45 wouldn’t give you favorable odds but, if that’s what you want to do then do it, it’s your life. There have been people who’ve randomly decided to open a case and have gotten knives on the other hand there have been people who’ve opened many cases and never gotten anything worth their while.

[Ducc]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

Oprindeligt skrevet af yoet:

it would, but PER CASE, NOT the whole unboxing

I already SAID THAT in previous post!!! Chance of opening a knife is about 0.2% and if you open 40 cases you have about 8% chance of getting a knife.

i think you wont have an 8 percent chance . just 0.2% per case.

[Vault Hunter 101]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

Oprindeligt skrevet af yoet:

it would, but PER CASE, NOT the whole unboxing

I already SAID THAT in previous post!!! Chance of opening a knife is about 0.2% and if you open 40 cases you have about 8% chance of getting a knife.

Rolling 10% win chance 10 times doesn't guarantee atleast 1 good outcome, you shouldnt multiply % chance by number of tries

[Diablo2604]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Vault Hunter 101:

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

I already SAID THAT in previous post!!! Chance of opening a knife is about 0.2% and if you open 40 cases you have about 8% chance of getting a knife.

Rolling 10% win chance 10 times doesn't guarantee atleast 1 good outcome, you shouldnt multiply % chance by number of tries

Ok smart guy, teach us how to calculate the odds correctly :D Lets say odds of getting the item is 1/10, you open 5 cases, would't you say the odds of getting the item is 50% ?

[Irene ❤]

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

how to calculate the odds correctly :D Lets say odds of getting the item is 1/10, you open 5 cases, would't you say the odds of getting the item is 50% ?

If the item is removed, it is 50%.
However, if you place the item back, it is back to 1/10.
In every new case, you can get a duplicate. Which means the odds remained low.

There is never a need to calculate or to multiple them.

0.26% to win a knife. 99.74% of losing. It's that simple.

1000 openings will probably score us 2 knives. The other 998 will fail.

The cost of 1000 openings is $2500.

That is the actual cost of a knife chance. Due to 400,000 players, the $2500 knife has been reduced to $250.

[Diablo2604]

Oprindeligt skrevet af ❤Irene:

Oprindeligt skrevet af Diablo2604:

how to calculate the odds correctly :D Lets say odds of getting the item is 1/10, you open 5 cases, would't you say the odds of getting the item is 50% ?

If the item is removed, it is 50%.
However, if you place the item back, it is back to 1/10.
In every new case, you can get a duplicate. Which means the odds remained low.

If the odds is 1/10(10%) and you open 5 cases, each case has odds of 1/10, 1/10, 1/10, 1/10, 1/10 in getting the item. All together the chance of getting the item is 1/10+1/10+1/10+1/10+1/10 = 5/10 which translates to 50%. its as simple as that.