whats the chance to get a knife if i open 40 cases

[2wo12en]

I want to open new prisma case may be 40-45 cases
so whats chance to get a knife

[Schnabeltier]

you have a higher chance that you'll get 40-45 3 cent blue ones

Edit: maybe just buy a knife instead of 40-45 keys

[Diablo2604]

Less then 10%

[Wehzy]

Uh.. No one can tell you that. Friend opended 250 cases on his bday and didn't even get a rare skin.. And didnt even see a knife at all. So better buy it off marketplace.

[Wehzy]

Originally posted by Diablo2604:

Less then 10%

less than *1% tbh.

[PleB Hitzgi]

Originally posted by Schnabeltier:

you have a higher chance that you'll get 40-45 3 cent blue ones

Edit: maybe just buy a knife instead of 40-45 keys

This. That chance of getting a knife is like 1 in 500 or so... It's never worth opening cases, rather just buy an item you fancy. Even if you'd get a knife. You'd proably get a forest dd pad gut knife battle-scarred. Not a good one anyway.

[Diablo2604]

Originally posted by What:

Originally posted by Diablo2604:

Less then 10%

less than *1% tbh.

Chance to get a knife is 0.2%, so opening 40 cases you get about 8% chance of getting a knife.

[Adam]

Don’t open cases just buy your skins from the steam market.

[JP]

Originally posted by Diablo2604:

Originally posted by What:

less than *1% tbh.

Chance to get a knife is 0.2%, so opening 40 cases you get about 8% chance of getting a knife.

Not true. The more cases you open =/= better chances at getting a knife. You will have 0.2% chance of opening a knife with each case.

[~MachineGunJebbi]

40 cases isnt event a serious knife "attempt"

[Adam]

Originally posted by JCyTe:

Originally posted by Diablo2604:

Chance to get a knife is 0.2%, so opening 40 cases you get about 8% chance of getting a knife.

Not true. The more cases you open =/= better chances at getting a knife. You will have 0.2% chance of opening a knife with each case.

Where is the evidence in this because this does not seem very true.

[Diablo2604]

Originally posted by JCyTe:

Originally posted by Diablo2604:

Chance to get a knife is 0.2%, so opening 40 cases you get about 8% chance of getting a knife.

Not true. The more cases you open =/= better chances at getting a knife. You will have 0.2% chance of opening a knife with each case.

XD

[Irene ❤]

If it's about a knife, you should use a cheaper case.
However, the rates are low.

Case Opening Rate

Purple    84.02%   chance of Losing
Pink      96.80%   chance of Losing
Red      99.36%   chance of Losing
Yellow    99.74%   chance of Losing   (Knife / gloves)

When you lose, you get a cheap Blue item.

Conclusion : Do not open a case!

🅸🆁🅴🅽🅴

[Paquito Franco]

Originally posted by Vsauce:

Originally posted by JCyTe:

Not true. The more cases you open =/= better chances at getting a knife. You will have 0.2% chance of opening a knife with each case.

Where is the evidence in this because this does not seem very true.

Odds don't change with quantity, is basic maths

[Irene ❤]

Yes, because on the next case, you can get the same blue item. The items were not "removed" from the case. As the % of getting a blue is high, the % of you getting a repeated blue is high. Hence the % of getting a knife remained low.

[JP]

Originally posted by Vsauce:

Originally posted by JCyTe:

Not true. The more cases you open =/= better chances at getting a knife. You will have 0.2% chance of opening a knife with each case.

Where is the evidence in this because this does not seem very true.

Are you retarded? Odds do NOT change based on quantity. Did you fail math in school or something? If you happen to be talking about the chance for getting a knife, that could be wrong, i was simply referring to the person who said it was 0.2%.