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The flaming ball was the Lantern King, one of the Elder fey.
Just keep playing, you are still early in the game, just at the end of chapter 2 ( of 8).
Depends a lot on your playstyle and difficulty setting. I finished the whole game in about 85 hours but i played on STORY difficulty and i am a very fast reader.
Its one MASSIVE game and most people seem to need somewhere around 150-250 hours for one playthrough.
IMO, the goblins weren't capitalizing on it; they were being manipulated because of their faith in Lamashtu. They were spreading the seeds, but a lot of them got eaten by monsters, and they didn't get much out of it (except a sense of purpose maybe?).
Like others have said - Consider your experience in the first world as a preview and as the first major sets of hints about what is going on. You will learn more and more as you go.
Get ready to be confused and deus ex machined for the rest of your play through.
As for being a massive game, it's mostly filler content rather than story: kingdom management cycle and some quests (artisans telling you in your capital that you need to talk to them in their towns, just to tell you go back to your capital) literally tell you to go from one edge of the map to another and go back for the laughs of the NPCs, the campaign speed is slow, the random encounters slow you down and are repeatitive, the save and reload cycle (if you play on harder difficulties) slows a lot of the game, I think 100 hours is the real content you get from the game, which is not bad, but nowhere near as some people tell you.
I think the strong point is the implementation of the rules and combat, although unbalanced it gives you the dnd vibe.
So don't put your hopes too high with regards to the story in my opinion.
PS: Also I played the DLC and nothing of importance was explained, but it was a nice little adventure combat wise.
This isn't the topic to be discussing spoiler stuff, which is good because your "summary" of the story is completely incorrect. Stuff isn't "deus ex machined"; the story is very character driven. Everyone acts according to their motivations. And none of it is confusing if you read.
Even the actual deus-es themselves on the rare occasions they show up generally have motivations beyond being just inscrutable beings.
By the way I didn't spoil anything as the plot is basically what he said he experienced.
And all that stuff is not explained in the normal ending (dunno about the secret one which I didn't go for).
As for motivations: it's an evil joke, that's literally what he says in the first world where the OP is at.
Might be that my ending was the worst I don't know, cause I won't be replaying the game, but again to me it's as vague as the OP has noticed even in the end.
To the OP, finish the game and then try to put the puzzle together, with the hints given most things will clear (and some things simply won't).
There are those that might say that if you intentionally skip on reading up on the lore and the story, you might find yourself confused by it. It is an interesting feat of mankind that you drag your way here to complain about it afterwards :)
I think the OP is as confused as I am, even though I finished the game.
Maybe it's just the ending I got but to me there's nothing deeper than it was an evil joke, and this you get the first time you hear the giant fire ball.
Lolwut? Did we play the same game?