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The discription is misleading.
Formula is this:
(1 - 1 / (0.15 * [ITEMNUMBER] + 1))
"As is, you need 16 for 70% reduction, 27 for 80%, 38 for 85%, 60 for 90%, 127 for 95%, over 327 for 98%, over 661 for 99%, and over 6665 sad teddy bears to have a 99.9% chance to block incoming damage."
https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=1697062540
(also teddy can technically hit 100% due to rounding error, but it needs an absurd amount that is literally impossible to get without cheating)