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For event chests, I find it random-ish. Some champions I'll average nearly 50/50. Other champions it's closer to 70/30. New champions or old, there's no clear pattern. Uriah was around 60/40, for example. Hewmann is closer to 50/50.
You can mostly ignore Orisha for the time being. Desmond is MUCH more important in restrictive variants.
I feel I'm at the point late-mid game that FE on all champions is where I need to focus. But, ya, I'm going to just give up on Vi for now. She's not even really C rank for me. Better to save and burn contracts on higher tier champions.
Maybe random, maybe not: For some some reason, almost all my worst farming results were obtained when I farmed chests on Sunday afternoon, approximately 1.5 days prior to the end of appropriate events (European time). For this reason, I try to do most of my farming on Saturday, not on Sunday.