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Just play it out. I challenge myself to only manually fight battles, including ♥♥♥♥♥♥ garrison battles or one-sided losses. It's interesting.
For example, if the enemy rocks up to my garrison which has ranged units I find I can defeat or at least bleed the enemy far better.
Sieges though? Usually I auto-resolve because they are just annoying sometimes. Same goes for dealing with armies annoying to chase down, like a Greenskin army randomly composed of 8 catapults and a shamen. Auto resolved for 20 losses whereas if I'd fought it by slow dwarves would have taken far more.
For example i could have an army of HE with 3 spearman, and the rest seaguard and archers, against an army of clanrats / sligers.
With the autobattler those spearmen are going to get their ♥♥♥♥ kicked in hardcore. Manually battling, depending on the terrain, there wont even be mele combat.
Last time i played teclis i had his starting swordmaster, 2 bolt throwers and the rest seaguard.
Every time i auto battled the swordmaster would get 100s of kills, while any indivudual seamaster unit would be lucky to get 10.
Manually battling ive won fights that showed 90% or so in the opponents favor.
One wierd quirk ive noticed is that sometimes the autobattler just decides that a particular unit is going to die. It could be 95% in your favor but that full health mele unit is still going to die becuase ♥♥♥♥ you...... Thats not always a bad thing though, its actually rather difficult to completly wipe out a unit in manual battle but the auto battler does it pretty much every time.
Thats funny because i had once a blessed cold ones unit that seemed to kill 1/2 the army by himself every time i autoresolved.
With most other races, it seems like I can do better than auto-resolve. AR tends to fully kill off units instead of letting them run away. It also doesn't seem to take into account magic or army abilities (which might be why Skaven suck in it -- menace below is a *huge* part of their playstyle in campaign).
Better stats win.
Manual fight: Distance, moraal, spells, etc.
There are alot of stuff that auto results skips over.
For example:
I can just spam a low tier unit and overrun entire nations using nothing but numbers.
If i try doing that in manual my troops would be routed time and time again.
I find myself using auto resolve alot because i play the game to long.
After 3 or 4 fights i just want to auto resolve my way to victory.
Sadly, the AI just looks at the power bar when assembling it's armies, so this sort of army just keeps showing up. No, Brettonnia, your 19 Trebuchets aren't going to win this fight...
If the devs would just include a small recursive % penalty for multiple copies of the same unit, the power bar would be more accurate. You'd be surprised how big a 5% penalty gets over 19 iterations.