Jagged Ghost Blade not dropping

[Noldo]

PLying for the first time. Wanted to get Jagged Ghost Blade to be always able to fight ghosts. I have "farmed" 60.000 XP in the ruins on Ghosts alone, which is some 300 ghosts per 200 XP (minus bunch of banshees). The rarity of the Jagged Ghost Blade is 1%. Is there a glitch, or is the game lying again?

[Cast Iron Churl]

Message me or whatever and I'll drop a rune and leave one for you, if that's a thing we can do. I've never tried it, but I've had invaders leave items so I'm assuming it'll work.

[dcy665]

RNGeezus is based on Randomness.

Look into Gambler's paradox, we BELIEVE (down on our knees) that 100 throws of the dice will guarantee that we will get that one. The very special one.

It ain't true. Random is random, every single time.

However, you can boost your odds from 1% with soft souls and the gold serpent ring or the helm of avarice; I only mention this to someone with that many hours because you didn't mention your luck value.

[Bandy]

If all you did was farm, farm, farm and never restarted the game, then the random number generator is indeed letting you down, see:
Can a computer generate a truly random number? It depends what you mean by random…
https://engineering.mit.edu/engage/ask-an-engineer/can-a-computer-generate-a-truly-random-number/

As mentioned, there are ways to improve the drop frequency with magic items and also carrying more Humanity: https://www.gamegrin.com/articles/dark-souls-attributes-and-stats-explained/

The Humanity stat has a soft cap at 10 and 30 which apply to two of the three stats it benefits. At 10, item discovery no longer increases while curse resistance stops growing at 30. ...

[Noldo]

Well, it took 260.000k XP, but I got it...

[CB]

nice. i know what it's like, i had something like 22 or 23 extra dark hands from trying to force a titanite slab drop.

i also seem to get double white chunks off of chaos eaters more often than i get red slabs.

[richardson]

Chance of success in 300 drops with a 1% probability is only 95%. That's bad, but not "obvious cheating" levels of bad. Lots of people get RNG strings worse than that every day.