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1. The Tropican happiness level only has been when compared to Caribbean happiness. The higher Caribbean happiness is, the more upset Tropicans will be. They'll expect at least Caribbean happiness levels.
2. Just because the average happiness level is 45 doesn't mean all Tropicans are at exactly 45 happiness. it's very possible you have Tropicans in one area or wealth demographic who are quite upset with your rule.
3. Certain edicts & constitution options heavily increase rebel spawn rates.
4. There's a major difference between GUERRILLAS and REBELS. Guerrillas will set fire to buildings & avoid direct conflict. Rebels will attack the palace & buildings to try to overthrow your rule. It sounds like you are having a guerrilla problem.
5. In later eras, the setting-fire-to-buildings and guerrillas-everywhere issues are easier to handle. Your fire stations will get helicopters to extinguish fires instantly and you can use drone strikes & amnesty to eliminate guerrillas.
6. Worst-case scenario you can build a courthouse & arrest all of your guerrillas.
7. Having any specifically-upset factions will greatly increase rebel spawn rates.
8. Forbidding Tropicans from leaving the island can result in more rebels.
There is a possibility that you have a bug, but much more likely you mismanaged something and it's gotten out of hand. You can go through the lists of your least happy Tropicans and look at their thoughts and roles. That should tell you what you missed. As far as #7, if you bribe the faction leader, you may buy some peace.
It's possible that your economy falls into a death spiral. If you've gone past the point of no return you might have to go back to a previous save. Even so, looking at the individual Tropicans, you can learn their thoughts and what to avoid in the future.
Thank you for answering! I will spam the "intimidate neighbours" raid then. And go for the "Love it or leave it" option in the constitution.
About arresting them - doesn't that increase the likelihood of their family members turning rebel? Would you recommend the asylum instead?
About edicts - do you know which ones are the most important to avoid in my situation?
And how am I supposed to keep everyone happy? Nothing is below 40, isn't that enough?Should I say yes to every faction demand, even if they're asking for opera houses when my whole population is poor, or when they're asking for the nuclear program and I don't have a lot of money and generally don't see a need for electricity yet?
Yeah, my economy is doing great in the Colonal era thanks to rum, and doing OK in the world wars thanks to boats, cloth and cigars. But something happens during the Cold war and I keep losing both income (currently primarily because of these fire starting guys) and popularity, so I become desperate and give in to Free wheels and Tax cut, but it doesn't cut it. Also I'm not sure I'm producing the right goods. I usually destroy the rum destillieries in WW because nobody seem to want it, and I worry about losing money. Boats didn't seem to make as much profit during the Cold war either. Should I foucus more on plantations? Also, how many of each shipyard/cigar factory/textile factory?
Another thing I've been wondering: Do you guys prolong every era to make as much money as possible? Like postponing the final tasks (kind of funny when it says Cold war era and the year is 2023).
Military kinda of sucks in T6. They often are too slow to response to rebel attacks and really nothing can stop guerrillas atm even spamming towers. I often go pacifist state in any mission that doesn't require it.
Yeah, that makes sense. Just started a new game, focusing more on peoples happiness and liberty and it's looking up :) But I must say I'm a little disappointed about the military and how hard it is to be a cruel dictator in this game. Seems you have to please everyone.
On top of that, the typical ways you'd deal with rebels in previous games are practically useless now, and stuff like the "reduce rebels" commando raid does practically nothing to stem the tide. You're better off focusing on things that increase liberty instead.