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Yup it's simple supply and demand
I decided to look at this myself by going through graphs of gold prices month by month over a few years - there is no repeating pattern over the year. Some do argue that there are "seasonal" differences in prices, but how prices go month by month on average goes something like this:
January - High
February - Very low
March - Low
April - High
May - Low
June - Low
July - High
August - Very high
September - Very high
October - Low
November - Very high
December - Low
..but you'll probably find there will never be a year that works exactly in this fashion, because this is just based on averages. In reality, you cannot predict gold prices in this manner, and it's definitely not connected to the weather.
So even though there is a 'seasonal' fuctuation of the gold prices. Such as no gold sold during winter when not able to gather gold, then the corresponding prices would likely rise over time until the next 'gold season', & coresponding increase of mining going on once again.
Thus, the gold 'market', is very likely affected by a multitude of factors such as weather, players gold selling practices, etc..
Another imaginative explanation, but that's not how the real world works - nobody would choose to sell to this closed market if the prices were worse, or vice versa, and if the fluctuations were so predictable it would be too easy to exploit.
Don't anyone take this personally, and it's not confined to this game either, but it's irritating when you ask the question "Is this realistic", and you get replies that show how it would be realistic if the real world were completely different.
kinda makes sense, start the season with high prices low prices on gold.
As the season goes on prices for gold goes up while prices on machines goes down.
end of season being optimal
My useage of the term "closed system" was due to the factor that we the player are the only source of gold selling going on in a single-player game. So yes this system is far from realistic, since there is a very limited set of factors influencing the gold prices.
Conclussion is that the chart will have a very limited changes according to whatever 'factors' that the developers programmed in to it. But I would still assume that the biggest factor may be our selling of gold, as we are the only source of gold in the game.
Yehr, we need other World Places for digging when in Alaska is Winter. I hope for a second Part of this Game and maybe, with the Quality like Farming Simulator. And it was nice, when we can buy other ( better ) Pickups and not only this old crap.