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it's dead. don't bother.
Not sure about higher tier trading.
The price of keys increased because of the increasing amount of refined metal
What started out as a neat little idea to let others socialize with each other outside of tf2 and trade hats for other hats became a starting point for the most corrupt part of TF2. Trading on the outside sounds like a cool idea, being a modernized form of pokemon cards or baseball card. A nice little idea to trade for something you want by giving something someone else wants. Sites begun popping up making it easier for people to trade. It was fun at first, with people getting what they wanted or even being able to make a profit, until the corporations and high tier traders saw the potential. One such monopoly was scrap.tf. The era of scrapbanking was over, and now was funneled through this large website, taking in all traffic, killing of a small part of trading for beginners. Although not very profitable, it was a warning of what was to come. With the rise of marketplace.tf, trading bots, and the acquisition of backpack.tf, high tier traders and monopolies converted a fun concept to a large business empire.
The monopoly of scrap.tf is similar to the Monopoly of The Standard Oil Company. Scrap.tf even controls 97% of the economy. They have the power of backpack.tf, allowing them the power to set prices of items, allowing them to profit what they think, and what their high tier trading buddies think something should be priced. In addition to interference with youtubers raising the price of certain items, or traders ability to shut down anything that Valve does to make trading easier, you are left with a system that only benefits the major monopolies and the 1% of high tier traders.
Getting into trading in todays day and age is a bad idea. You are playing a game that was constructed around the richest players and you will lose. Trading will only make you lose time and money, which is exactly what traders want you to think so you buy from them directly. If you do decide to go into trading, you will be faced by hundreds upon hundreds of TF2 trading bots that basically make it impossible to trade unless you undercut your prices. In addition if you spend hundreds of dollars to go straight into unusual trading, lower tier unusuals are automated in this current day and age, and high tier trading is playing against the richest TF2 players ever, meaning you will not make any profit and are just destined to lose. Even if you hypothetically get one good trade, you run into the possibility of price manipulation and just everyone undercutting you from the original value.
Do not play the traders game and do not trade. Instead, enjoy playing the game. Traders want to make you believe you need expensive items to play the game, but all you need is just your ability and will to play. Ignore all the stupid unusuals, and return to the gibus hat.