Team Fortress 2
What is the chance of winning a golden frying pan?
And also, what is the chance of an Australium weapon?
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Showing 1-15 of 37 comments
ɐǝ⅄ Jun 21, 2023 @ 8:56am 
The chances are low enough that you're more than likely gonna spend so much on tickets that you might as well just buy the pan. You could also just ditch the gold novelty and get a strange or even just a normal pan.
Zaokllr Jun 21, 2023 @ 9:01am 
Originally posted by ɐǝ⅄:
The chances are low enough that you're more than likely gonna spend so much on tickets that you might as well just buy the pan. You could also just ditch the gold novelty and get a strange or even just a normal pan.
Yeah but the ability to use that ugly ♥♥♥♥ on two additional classes is worth the extra $5,000.
too low to be worth gambling for

just buy them if you want them
Agugu #KillTF2 Jun 21, 2023 @ 9:10am 
first: thanks for answering me very quick,and second: thanks for answering me
SINKI Jun 21, 2023 @ 9:27am 
1 in a 100
Mcfighter2 Jun 21, 2023 @ 10:49am 
I found this public spreadsheet a while back containing MvM drop data for thousands of Two Cities tours that have answered all of my questions about drop chances.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1XFJmNuTITdrhv1BcAJxzp0HrLiMoFLDaUdKDvU7wX7c/edit#gid=1390404961

According to it, there is a 3.078% chance to be awarded an australium weapon after finishing a tour. It also shows that upon being rewarded an australium, there is a 0.2619% chance to be rewarded a Golden Pan instead. Multiplying these two and bumping it up two decimal places (0.03078 * 0.002619 * 100) puts the chance at finding a Golden Pan in one tour at 0.008061%

Yeah, just buy the Pan at that point.
ignore ppl saying "mvm bad!!!1!!" if you genuinely enjoy playing it (like me) than play all you want, i would rather spend 90 cents on a Tour Of Duty ticket than 6k on one item
UNBREAKABLE Jun 21, 2023 @ 2:20pm 
Originally posted by ɐǝ⅄:
The chances are low enough that you're more than likely gonna spend so much on tickets that you might as well just buy the pan. You could also just ditch the gold novelty and get a strange or even just a normal pan.

Buying it used to be easier - but it was also not 6k when I got mine years ago. Demand goes up and less people that already have them want to sell, so it'll only become more expensive despite the fact more are being put into circulation over time. There may be a point where financially you're better off just grinding tickets...
Last edited by UNBREAKABLE; Jun 21, 2023 @ 2:25pm
Originally posted by The real Jacques Morneau:
ignore ppl saying "mvm bad!!!1!!" if you genuinely enjoy playing it (like me) than play all you want, i would rather spend 90 cents on a Tour Of Duty ticket than 6k on one item
If you genuinely enjoy playing mvm you should be playing mvm to play mvm instead of gambling
Mcfighter2 Jun 21, 2023 @ 2:21pm 
Originally posted by The real Jacques Morneau:
ignore ppl saying "mvm bad!!!1!!" if you genuinely enjoy playing it (like me) than play all you want, i would rather spend 90 cents on a Tour Of Duty ticket than 6k on one item
But tour tickets aren't needed to play mvm. Just play boot camp if you enjoy mvm so much; don't gamble money away unless you know that you'll probably won't get anything.
Last edited by Mcfighter2; Jun 21, 2023 @ 2:24pm
Idk, if I ever started MvM I would just be in it for the killstreak and botkiller weapons so I could go play more casual.
Nvlddmkm.sys Jun 21, 2023 @ 2:39pm 
Originally posted by Mcfighter2:
Originally posted by The real Jacques Morneau:
ignore ppl saying "mvm bad!!!1!!" if you genuinely enjoy playing it (like me) than play all you want, i would rather spend 90 cents on a Tour Of Duty ticket than 6k on one item
But tour tickets aren't needed to play mvm. Just play boot camp if you enjoy mvm so much; don't gamble money away unless you know that you'll probably won't get anything.

You don't get the thrills of gambling away your money in bootcamp.
The feeling of anticipation after completing a tour while waiting for your turn on the reward screen.
The rush of adrenaline you get when you see that third box thinking maybe perhaps this is The One. The One with the golden pan. Your username is going to plastered all over the video game as you ascend to TF2 godhoo... Oh it's just an aussie axtinguisher... yay!
Nothing compares
Originally posted by Nvlddmkm.sys:
Originally posted by Mcfighter2:
But tour tickets aren't needed to play mvm. Just play boot camp if you enjoy mvm so much; don't gamble money away unless you know that you'll probably won't get anything.

You don't get the thrills of gambling away your money in bootcamp.
The feeling of anticipation after completing a tour while waiting for your turn on the reward screen.
The rush of adrenaline you get when you see that third box thinking maybe perhaps this is The One. The One with the golden pan. Your username is going to plastered all over the video game as you ascend to TF2 godhoo... Oh it's just an aussie axtinguisher... yay!
Nothing compares
this
Mcfighter2 Jun 21, 2023 @ 2:49pm 
Originally posted by Nvlddmkm.sys:
Originally posted by Mcfighter2:
But tour tickets aren't needed to play mvm. Just play boot camp if you enjoy mvm so much; don't gamble money away unless you know that you'll probably won't get anything.

You don't get the thrills of gambling away your money in bootcamp.
The feeling of anticipation after completing a tour while waiting for your turn on the reward screen.
The rush of adrenaline you get when you see that third box thinking maybe perhaps this is The One. The One with the golden pan. Your username is going to plastered all over the video game as you ascend to TF2 godhoo... Oh it's just an aussie axtinguisher... yay!
Nothing compares


Originally posted by The real Jacques Morneau:
Originally posted by Nvlddmkm.sys:

You don't get the thrills of gambling away your money in bootcamp.
The feeling of anticipation after completing a tour while waiting for your turn on the reward screen.
The rush of adrenaline you get when you see that third box thinking maybe perhaps this is The One. The One with the golden pan. Your username is going to plastered all over the video game as you ascend to TF2 godhoo... Oh it's just an aussie axtinguisher... yay!
Nothing compares
this
I agree about it being thrilling (and it's fun in moderation), but if you like MvM just because of playing a gambling game, do you really like MvM or do you just like gambling?
Rounds to 0%
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Date Posted: Jun 21, 2023 @ 8:55am
Posts: 37