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MartensoftWorld has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 9:45pm

Paint drop rate?

What is the drop rate for paint (that isn't buy only) after getting premium? I cannot seem to find any info on this.

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Originally posted by Auraplayer (Stir Crazy):

Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Originally posted by Auraplayer:
It's pretty rare, as rare as cosmetic and tool drops.
Are there any for-sure numbers? Most of the estimates I've found seem to be all over the place.

It's pure RNG, but from most sources, weapons have the highest probability to drop, which other items, like paints, tools, cosmetics, drop at far lower rates compared to weapons.

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Showing 1-15 of 19 comments

Auraplayer (Stir Crazy) has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 9:47pm

It's pretty rare, as rare as cosmetic and tool drops.

MartensoftWorld has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 9:56pm

Originally posted by Auraplayer:
It's pretty rare, as rare as cosmetic and tool drops.

Are there any for-sure numbers? Most of the estimates I've found seem to be all over the place.

The author of this thread has indicated that this post answers the original topic.

Auraplayer (Stir Crazy) has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 9:58pm

Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Originally posted by Auraplayer:
It's pretty rare, as rare as cosmetic and tool drops.
Are there any for-sure numbers? Most of the estimates I've found seem to be all over the place.

It's pure RNG, but from most sources, weapons have the highest probability to drop, which other items, like paints, tools, cosmetics, drop at far lower rates compared to weapons.

MartensoftWorld has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:00pm

Originally posted by Auraplayer:
Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Are there any for-sure numbers? Most of the estimates I've found seem to be all over the place.
It's pure RNG, but from most sources, weapons have the highest probability to drop, which other items, like paints, tools, cosmetics, drop at far lower rates compared to weapons.

If it's pure rng, then everything would drop at the "same" computer-psuedorandom rate. My guess is you could calculate the random-rates running multiple bot accounts in idle servers after buying an item on each account, though that'd be a lot of work.

Auraplayer (Stir Crazy) has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:03pm

Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Originally posted by Auraplayer:
It's pure RNG, but from most sources, weapons have the highest probability to drop, which other items, like paints, tools, cosmetics, drop at far lower rates compared to weapons.
If it's pure rng, then everything would drop at the "same" computer-psuedorandom rate. My guess is you could calculate the random-rates running multiple bot accounts in idle servers after buying an item on each account, though that'd be a lot of work.

Some premium players may not even receive a cosmetic drop after a thousand or two of hours added in the game, while other may immediately receive a cosmetic, or Gaben forbid, two cosmetic drops. I'm the latter. Received two cosmetic drops during Smissmas, the Pyromancer's Mask and Weight Room Warmer, both of them are pretty expensive as well. It's really variable, depending on the user.

MartensoftWorld has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:05pm

Originally posted by Auraplayer:
Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
If it's pure rng, then everything would drop at the "same" computer-psuedorandom rate. My guess is you could calculate the random-rates running multiple bot accounts in idle servers after buying an item on each account, though that'd be a lot of work.
Some premium players may not even receive a cosmetic drop after a thousand or two of hours added in the game, while other may immediately receive a cosmetic, or Gaben forbid, two cosmetic drops. I'm the latter. Received two cosmetic drops during Smissmas, the Pyromancer's Mask and Weight Room Warmer, both of them are pretty expensive as well. It's really variable, depending on the user.

That is a really strange way to set up randomizers. Don't think I've heard of a game with a weirder drop system.

Certificate has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:06pm

Been playing for 866 hours, havent found a single paint yet. Biggest thing I have found is a name tag (9.33 ref) a week ago and 3 hats some time ago. Maybe I am unlucky.

Last edited by Certificate; Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:06pm

MartensoftWorld has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:09pm

Originally posted by Certificate:
Been playing for 866 hours, havent found a single paint yet. Biggest thing I have found is a name tag (9.33 ref) a week ago and 3 hats some time ago. Maybe I am unlucky.

Dang. I was hoping people saying similar things in other threads about this were just outliers. I guess it's just more worth it to trade for or buy paint, then?

76561198357292090 has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:13pm

Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Dang. I was hoping people saying similar things in other threads about this were just outliers. I guess it's just more worth it to trade for or buy paint, then?

This summer paint prices for some reason recieved a spike, so whatever paints you want to buy, buy them before the prices fluctuate even harder. Or if you're a betting man, wait for a price drop...

Auraplayer (Stir Crazy) has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:14pm

Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Originally posted by Certificate:
Been playing for 866 hours, havent found a single paint yet. Biggest thing I have found is a name tag (9.33 ref) a week ago and 3 hats some time ago. Maybe I am unlucky.
Dang. I was hoping people saying similar things in other threads about this were just outliers. I guess it's just more worth it to trade for or buy paint, then?

Yes, that's why veterans in trading always say to aspiring traders that if they're going to start trading, then they better just buy keys instead of wasting time farming items.

#10

MartensoftWorld has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:15pm

Originally posted by Glycomere#RemoveRandomCrits:
Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Dang. I was hoping people saying similar things in other threads about this were just outliers. I guess it's just more worth it to trade for or buy paint, then?

This summer paint prices for some reason recieved a spike, so whatever paints you want to buy, buy them before the prices fluctuate even harder. Or if you're a betting man, wait for a price drop...

Not expecting a drop anytime soon when the market prices are higher than valve store prices.

#11

76561198357292090 has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:19pm

Originally posted by Auraplayer:
Yes, that's why veterans in trading always say to aspiring traders that if they're going to start trading, then they better just buy keys instead of wasting time farming items.

This, keys for the most part have been the most stable type of TF2 currency any newbie can invest in, although there used to be a time where it was Bill's Hats and Ipod Earbuds, lol.

#12

Certificate has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:21pm

Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Originally posted by Certificate:
Been playing for 866 hours, havent found a single paint yet. Biggest thing I have found is a name tag (9.33 ref) a week ago and 3 hats some time ago. Maybe I am unlucky.
Dang. I was hoping people saying similar things in other threads about this were just outliers. I guess it's just more worth it to trade for or buy paint, then?

You can always go to backpack.tf, go to the listings of a cosmetic item and see its prices with various paints. You only have to pay a fraction of the paint (depending on the seller) and if you are lucky you can find a cosmetic which has a very good selling paint for very cheap. For example, I had bought a Texas Ten Gallon painted black (worth 2.7 keys according to bp.tf) for its ORIGINAL price and made 20 ref profit out of it. One other time, I had bought a full pink pyro set and made 20-22 ref profit on EACH item, which easily gave me 1.5 keys. If you are smart and patient, you can buy paints for a very good price. Just my two cents.

#13

Auraplayer (Stir Crazy) has Team Fortress 2

Sep 8, 2018 @ 10:23pm

Originally posted by Certificate:
Originally posted by Microsoft has terminated file⎞:
Dang. I was hoping people saying similar things in other threads about this were just outliers. I guess it's just more worth it to trade for or buy paint, then?

You can always go to backpack.tf, go to the listings of a cosmetic item and see its prices with various paints. You only have to pay a fraction of the paint (depending on the seller) and if you are lucky you can find a cosmetic which has a very good selling paint for very cheap. For example, I had bought a Texas Ten Gallon painted black (worth 2.7 keys according to bp.tf) for its ORIGINAL price and made 20 ref profit out of it. One other time, I had bought a full pink pyro set and made 20-22 ref profit on EACH item, which easily gave me 1.5 keys. If you are smart and patient, you can buy paints for a very good price. Just my two cents.

Would confirm with your testament.

#14