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Although we don't know but it's thought to be 1%
%1 for unusual hats.
So yeah that’s %3
Means that each 300 or 3000 crate has 1.
I don’t recommend unboxing that much, as that key could be used for trading and better purposes.
It’s just luck.
You can get a unusual on your first or 3000th crate, or in between.
I was never a fan of unboxing and never will be, I only unboxed once and I got a 7 refined hat when I could sell the key for more than 30 refined.