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Para 1-3: OK, state the base theory and otherwise absolutely nothing seems out of the ordinary or contradicted in game yet. VHS tapes and AD fight confirm most of Para 2-3.
Para 4: Either another child fell somewhat recently (in relation to Boss Monster time, not to Underground random citizen time), or your conclusion.
Para 5: Not sure if antique is being used THAT literally. and even if it was, it could just be 100+ years old by the time Justice aquired the gun.
Para 6: Could be. Or it may be either laziness like the bed in alphy's lab. Or wanting to avoid having the a potential human-monster relations fiasco potential dampen the ending. I know To the Moon intentionally AVOIDED certain moral/eithical issues within the main game and saved them for the Holiday themed free DLCs in order to keep the narrative focus of the main game on the main storylines. So this point is inconclusive in either direction until Toby informs us otherwise.
Para 7: If your theory on para 6 is correct, then this would make sense. Plus the whole default armor = bandage thing.
Para 8: Not sure where it confirms 100% Sans has been around since day one (Snowdin shop says something about how the brothers just appeared and asserted themselves one day). In theory, Frisk COULD have been Sans' first human too (after all, who knows how much he has implied from your face and Toriel's door talks.
Papyrus has either never seen a human or is REALLY good at the naive fool act. I prefer to believe his naive act is real though, so I'll give that to you. Undyne could go either way (and which way doesn't really matter for this theory). After all if she HASN'T seen a human, she HAS trained with Asgore enough to have heard all about them.
In addition, VERY FEW (if any?) civilians seem to even be aware what humans look like and several mistake Frisk for a monster. Although Asgore not even recognizing Frisk as a human in Geno seems a bit weird if you use that angle.
Para 9: Not really sure how I feel on this one yet. Never really thought about how they got stoves and such made. although part of alphys' MTT body research could have actually just been anime combiend with her own experimentation instead of an actual AI dropping down.
OTHER DETAILS, potentially relevant?: Toriel's laugh during the MTT hotel scene is stated to be like someone who hasn't laughed for a hudnred years. Although that COULD just be a figure of speech. And Catty and Bratty say monsters have been imprisoned for millenia. As in 1000[s] of years. But again, potential figure of speech and I wouldn't put it past thsoe two to exaggerate.
Only childless Boss Monsters (Asgor and Toriel) are explicitly stated to be immortal, though Gerson is OLD and has been around since before the barrier. Although, perhaps turtle like monsters just have naturally longer lifespans compared to most other monsters, so that's not immediate disproof either.
Final result: Pluasible. Couple assumptions, but noen which require super glaring holes and no super obvious without refering to text dump contradictions from ingame.
Better supported then S = N (largely easter egg/they like EB and has a few significant "facts" that are directly in conflict with ingame text).
But not nearly as well supported Chara = Neutral/Pacifist Narrator theory.
second, there's nothing indicating what calender is being used. it is not marked as the year "201x AD". it could be 201x of the reign of asgore, 201x after the horus heresy.
ditt_25 has the ticket for the antique gun.... it might have already been antique when it entered the underground.
sans has not been around since day one. skellebros have only somewhat recently shown up. of note, sans "gave up trying to go back" as opposed to the surface (next line is "going to the surface doesent appeal either")
dont forget, monsters use magic. monsters are MADE of magic. alphys probably use magic in the creation of mettaton's body, a very easy way out of your point.
i do agree that it's been a "long time" since any human fell into the underground, possibly 21XX or beyond.
here's a little thing i like to put forward. frisk is dead. that's chara's body walking around. chara was removed from their coffin, and buried under that flower patch you start on. fris has at least one flashback of one of chara's memories. the game over screen gives you asgore's words as chara lay dying. i put forward that frisk is hellow and squinty because they are in chara's mumified corpse.
oh, and ditt_25, that's a callback to sans earlier in the geno run. the lines about "keep pretending to be human". also, think about it. other humans might call the player on genocide a monster. what would monsters call such a human?
I really did enjoy your little idea Your Best Friend. And I kinda believe that theory. But what I have trouble believing is that Chara is in full control of a dead Frisk. And there are quite a bit of speculations that Chara is following Frisk as spirit yet is capable of sharing consciousness with Frisk, thus the memory being shared and some of the text box information. I've even watched a theory on how Chara isn't a bad person.
I know it's hard to think about but sometimes I like to put my mind in a child's perspective.
this is why in genocide (even if it's your first run) flowey calls you chara and mentions your "stolen soul". and also why chara themself claims that your soul and determination were your own the whole time.