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Edit (11/16/2021): Added Zweihander study as #6. Moved Barbute to #7.
Data is listed below. Recall that the score is the average mean number of hits to die against the 35 enemies in the test sample. Higher scores indicate better average survive-ability.
Metal Mask (140/-6) and Sallet (120/-5) and Zweihander (160/-7) are used for the head. Robes (120/-9) are used for the body.
Dropping to Closed Mail Coif (90/-4) was tested for the -FAT attachments, but it scored worse than the shown options.
If using Bone Plates, Assassin Mask is doing better than Sallet (and it looks cooler). Zweihander did even a smidge better than the Mask.
The Sallet (120/-5) + Leather Lamellar (95/-10) is a cheap and easily accessible balanced Nimble line. It's a safe pick if you don't have Assassin gear.
Sallet is used for the head. Body is L.Lamellar for the neutral attachments and Padded Leather (80/-8) for the -FAT attachments.
Dropping from L.Lamellar to Padded Leather when using Bone Plates/Lindwurm seems about even in durability while saving 2 Fatigue, and is worth doing.
Barbute (190/-9) is used for the head. Body is Gambeson (65/-6) for the neutral attachments and Necromancer Shirt (60/-4) for the -FAT attachments.
As this line can drop to Necro Shirt and maintain 40% Nimble, this line basically doesn't care at all about the Bone Plate nerf.
The Barbute + Necro Shirt + Bone Plate line scores favoably well compared to other lines (non Assassin) with a bro that has high hp.
Helmets are Necromancer Hat (40/-0) and the last two are Sallet (120/-5). Body armor is Noble Mail (160/-15) and the last two are Assassin Robes (120/-9). LPR test is also with Sallet.
Desert Stalker Headwrap (45/-0) would be a smidgen better, but are not easy to find/obtain.
Assassin Robes turn out better than Noble Mail if you have those available, even with Steelbrow. Metal Mask (140/-6), Closed Mail Coif (90/-4), and Duelist Hat (70-3) were tested with Assassin Robes as well but were worse than the Sallet.
Helmet is Sallet (120/-5). Body is Noble Mail (160-15)
Compares decently at 80 hp to 40% Sallet options (non Assassin), but at 120 hp you would want to look elsewhere.
Helmet is Zweihander Hat (160/-7). Body is Noble Mail (160/-15) and the last two use Assassin Robes (120/-9)
These lines with Noble Mail tend to be beating medium Sallet lines ever so slightly but costing two more Fatigue.
The Zweihander + Assassin set is quite good, even beating the Assassin Mask ever so slighly but costing one more Fatigue.
Assassin Robes are doing better than Noble Mail as they are so much more efficient that it isn't generally worth the loss of Nimble%, if Robes are available.
Helmet is Barbute (190/-9). Body is Noble Mail (160/-15) and the last two use Assassin Robes (120/-9)
These lines with Noble Mail tend to be losing to the medium Sallet and Zwerihander lines.
The Barbute + Assassin tends to be beating the medium Sallet lines due to how good the Robes are, but you would be better using the Assassin Mask or Zweihander if available instead of Barbute.
Heraldic Hauberk with LPR was tested, but the Nimble% is high enough to the point where you might as well go with AFP Forge instead.
Thank you for reading.
This is the most interesting piece to me. Thanks so much for doing this! Really cool stuff, and I like that the playing field for nimble is a little more leveled now.
Horn plate obviously fantastic, but I simply don't enjoy even thinking about the kraken, so it's sorta not so fun in that sense.
Worth thinking about some more, I suppose :)
That's the average of hits survived against the types of enemies listed.
This surprised me too. I had figured with high hp that you would be better off sticking to 40% would be better, even at the cost of headgear.
There's probably some matchups where it is, I didn't look too closely at individual enemies.
I will still not be thinking about the Kraken. Should I actually decide to fight him then the Watermill would be the end of the campaign anyway, so not much time for fancy attachments to provide value.
As Heron mentioned, it is the mean hits to die against the 35 enemy test sample. This was mentioned at the very beginning, but it is easy to gloss over and forget in the wall of text. I added a note at the top of the data too now for clarity, which I should have done to begin with, sorry for the confusion.
edit - for example I would bet that 190/220/61% lindwurm 80hp = 6.57 would gain enough from steel brow to get ahead of 40/220/44% lindwurm, which sits at 6.76 at 80hp
edit2 - maybe I don't need you to run a bunch of steel brow numbers, if you can confirm the theory that 9 lives would add 1.0 to every score, it already does plenty to make the necro hat lines look bad, given 9 lives is not the most popular perk. but there is still some curiosity about the steel brow numbers but only if you really have the spare time.
edit - this question has implications for the value of the buildup during levels 1-6 when you don't have nimble... during that time basic mail shirt (115 -12) and southern mail shirt (110 -11) are better than leather lamellar. if I fill my inventory with this best raider gear and discard leather lamellar, how much does it matter when nimble joins the equation and makes the formula more complicated than more dur = better?
Good question.
Adding Brow to the 190/220/61% Lindwurm 80hp line goes from 6.57 -> 6.81.
Technically 6.81 "beats" 6.76 in terms of scoring, but scoring higher doesn't necessarily mean that it is "better" all the time. The test and scores are only a generalization.
I looked at each of the 35 enemies, and compared to the 40/220/44% line you mentioned. The Barbute line won against 14 enemies. The Necro Hat line won against 19 enemes. There were two ties (Fallen Hero w/ Greataxe and Chosen with Heavy Rusty Axe).
The Necro Hat line was winning against most of the big hitters. Barbute line was better against the Cleaver enemies (except Rusty Warblade interestingly). Barbute line was winning against the weak enemies.
But if I look deeper at Chosen with Warblade, Necro Hat line has a 1.5% chance of dying in 3 hits whereas Barbute cannot, but Barbute is twice as likely (~32%) of dying in 4 hits compared to Necro Hat (~16%). Cleaver tests are always a bit iffy though since I have to make educated guesses on when to apply bleeding damage (every two attacks is how I've done that). But in reality with imperfect accuracy and Chosen maybe not attacking twice every turn, and maybe being able to get a Bandage in, it isn't that straightforward.
One issue with the calculator is that it values surviving any type of weapon equally. While technically that's a fair representation, the player usually has a weighted interest toward surviving dangerous attackers. The Barbute line is better against mostly weaker attackers while the Necro Hat line is better against mostly dangerous attackers despite scoring overall lower. There's some skew action here, given that the Necro line was better against more of the test enemies than the Barbute.
Also if Brow is assumed anyway, spending 9 Fatigue to score .05 better is not really a good trade.
So that's a kind of long winded response to a very specific test case, but I think the 40 Hat lines with Brow are ok as a non-Assassin option, since you probably won't have Robes for everyone.
Technically Nine Lives can score slightly above 1 extra hit since it can save you from a Bleed death (and thus grant an extra hit that otherwise wouldn't have rolled).
Also, while being unlikely, it is possible to survive an extra hit with Nine Lives in the rare case that you get killed mostly/entirely through your head or body, and then after Nine Lives procs you get hit on your fresh armor side and survive. Nine Lives returns 5-10 hp so if one of your armors is healthy it is somewhat reasonable for a Nimble bro to survive a weakish hit there.
Adding Nine Lives to the 190/220/61% Lindwurm line with 80hp brings the score from 6.57 to 7.64, a 1.07 increase.
Nine Lives will nearly always beat SteelBrow in mean survive-ability scores. I'm not sure that I've ever seen Brow offering more than 1 full hit survived in my history of testing. Brow offers injury resistance though.
I'm assuming you mean Plated Noble Mail (105/-11)? Because Southern Mail Shirts would have to either be bought or stolen off of Conscripts, and I don't think people are knifing Conscripts early game for shirts.
If we assume Nasal Helmet (105/-5) for early game since you probably don't have Sallets yet, and then look at Leather Lamellar (95/-10), Plated Nomad Mail (105/-11), and Basic Mail Shirt (115/-12), and give them a +15 attachment, this is what we get. I also added a trio of Padded Kettle (140/-8) since that's easily lootable from Armored Weidergangers.
The differences between the shirts is basically nonexistent. So should you have dumped your L.Lammelars and have Mail Shirts instead all you are really doing is losing 2 Fatigue for about the same general durability. So in other words not a big deal.
Using Padded Kettle doesn't seem worthwhile however, in general, compared to regular Nasal Helmets in this test.
I have been at war with 1 southern city state as early as day 28, they often have juicy patrols and caravans and it is only one settlement to have to worry about losing access to. you did answer the question good enough about southern mail shirts though.
edit - for a peasant militia on veteran/veteran, there may be some armies for a city state at war that you have to avoid that early, but it felt more numerous to see something like 5 conscripts and a gunner, or 7 conscripts, and something slightly more dangerous like 8 conscripts and an officer would not be out of the question to face. and of course, you don't declare war until you're face to face with your first 5 conscripts and a gunner opportunity or a similar opportunity. I think the south may even have such thing as a patrol with like 5 conscripts and an assasin, or maybe that patrol had spawned with more and been through battle.
I guess, this data has changed my approach to nimble moreso than the rework itsself. previously I played with collecting wrapped southern helmet (105 -5) and southern mail shirt (110 -11) and prior to the southern mail shirts basic mail shirts and plated nomad mail and upgraded them with sallet and assasin gear. now I will add necro shirt and barbute combo to the list of upgrades. I had not studied data like this previously the way I did with this post. it occurs to me that I may be able to loot necro shirts faster than I can buy barbutes. this injects a new question into my mind. are there any necro shirt + brigand leader helm combos that bring competative survival rates compared to basic mail shirt or southern mail shirt and nasal helm? I guess I am curious about this test with hyena, bone plate, and +10 dur buyable attachments, but as it stands the only attachments I'm likely to put on a necro shirt are bones, lindwurm, or a temporary +10, while the attachments I'm likely to put on southern mail shirt or basic mail shirt are hyena/wolf or +10. I doubt I'll start buying noble mail any time soon, barbutes and sallets seem like much better purchases based on this data.
anyway I'm really happy with the effort you put into answering my previous question, no pressure to put as much effort into this one, huge thanks again
edit - hmm, scanning the wiki, it looks like the only brigand leader line that might be interesting is nasal helm with mail (200 -12), I doubt going higher would be beneficial, but I guess bascinet with mail (210 -13) is something I might loot and consider even though it is probably worse. the wiki also revealed two other interesting barbute substitutes, I doubt I'd buy a closed and padded flat top (180 -11), but knowing how it stands might still be nice or surprisingly good, and closed flat top (170 -10) off a mercenary is a possibility.
edit2 - so basically I'm hoping there will be reason to use my necro shirts without barbute, so this means comparing them with substitute helms to southern mail shirt + nasal helm as I expect those to be highly available. based on your already provided comparable data, it doesn't look like closed and padded flat top + necro shirt + 10dur attach is going to match sallet + southern mail shirt + 10dur, so while the price of those two helms is comparable sallet will always be better buy, not to mention closed and padded flat top would be more temporary and has vision issues. but the other options, if they're free and comparable, could expand the inventory a bit.