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After you get to good reputation with a noble house start selling as much as you can at that house's capital.
How do you find the producing cities?
Wine is not a trade good, its a provision so you won't make profit on it.
Yeah it's true, in one savegame I got a village that produces Dyes, mead and wine and (especially with the High Spirits buff) I can buy all these and sell them for profit in the neigbouring big city that has for mysterious reason ambushed trade routes all year long :P
The biggest city on the map is a few hours march from a city that sells salt and uncut gems.
:)
The ones that produce food/drink are not so useful for trade but if you can locate the towns that produce the other trade goods then that's where you want to go to buy stuff cheap for trading. Just make sure when you get there that there is no Town debuff (scared villagers, ambushed trade routes, etc.) as that will make buying the stuff far more expensive. If there is a debuff then see if that town has a contract that will clear the debuff (ex. Hunt down what is terrorizing the villagers).
Make sure you do your buying AFTER doing any contracts. Not only will prices be slightly better as you gain relation status with that town but certain contracts (return relics) will make the town so happy they'll usually sell their trade goods BELOW the actual value.
Then return to the bigger castles/cities (shown towards the top of the wiki page) to sell at higher amounts. Oh, and make sure you don't spend all your money when you're buying at the towns cause you still need enough money to pay daily wages for the trip back to the selling destination.
Go to towns only, do not go to forts or keeps or castles or anything that sounds like those because they will only have noble contracts which you cannot accept until you have 1050 renown or fame or whatever it is called. You can check this by clicking on the shaking hands, where you see your relations with the towns and nobles.
Taverns are not for missions, they serve two purposes: buy drinks for the locals and they might tell you where to find some hidden locations, or buy drinks for your men to boost their mood.
Taverns may tell you about unique items hidden in the locations that they tell you about. Its one of the best ways to find uniques.
how do you attack a caravan?
I'd say to always buy trade goods that are selling for near their base value, you rarely have to travel more than 1 or 2 towns away to turn a decent profit. But I'd advise spending almost every penny of that starting cash to get your guys geared up. If you have extra cash and you feel like your guys have good gear, recruit a couple of the cheapest good backgrounds (things like brawlers and farmers and gravediggers, cheap guys with small bonuses and no real penalties) to search for guys with stars in good stats. If you need a way to burn that early cash, try to get as many Leather Lamellar armors as you can for your melee guys. A good price on them is 400-500 gold, don't pay much more than that. They are decent gear early on, providing 90 armor, and then when you start upgrading to chainmail they make good hand-me-downs for archers and other back-liners.
Edit: Another tip for fiscal conservatism: markets are the BEST. You can get so many cheap used items there, and even if they are 100% they are still cheaper than armorer/weaponsmith prices so always check the market.