Primal Kappa !

[Oriental despotism advocate]

http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=497694271
What was the chance of it ?

[Silvus Sol]

Did Fortuna pop as well? Because if so, stop playing and buy a Powerball ticket.

[davidb11]

If no Atman, 25% chance of a boss being Primal.
I think the odds of a Kappa spawning are 1/50? I'm sure someone knows for certain.

But if it's 1/50, and there's a 1/4 chance of getting it primal, the odds should be 1/200.
This is if the Gambler's Folly Paradox does not affect it.

If it does, it's just 25%. :)

[Oriental despotism advocate]

Originally posted by Silvus Sol:

Did Fortuna pop as well? Because if so, stop playing and buy a Powerball ticket.

Nope,still that was lucky

[Oriental despotism advocate]

Originally posted by davidb11:

If no Atman, 25% chance of a boss being Primal.
I think the odds of a Kappa spawning are 1/50? I'm sure someone knows for certain.

But if it's 1/50, and there's a 1/4 chance of getting it primal, the odds should be 1/200.
This is if the Gambler's Folly Paradox does not affect it.

If it does, it's just 25%. :)

Still,it's stated on the wiki to be the luckiest encounter in the game.

[davidb11]

I know, but I've seen his at least 4 times so far, and some of them were before floor 100.

He's rare, but if you play this game enough, you'll find him enough.

[Oriental despotism advocate]

Originally posted by davidb11:

I know, but I've seen his at least 4 times so far, and some of them were before floor 100.

He's rare, but if you play this game enough, you'll find him enough.

Primal boss before the 100th lvl ?!
wat ?

[davidb11]

Sorry, I meant him normally before the 100th floor.
Not his primal form.
I don't think I ever found him Primal, so you are indeed lucky.
But you will find him multiple times as you play this game, so eventually, the novelty will wear off. :)

[Oriental despotism advocate]

Originally posted by davidb11:

Sorry, I meant him normally before the 100th floor.
Not his primal form.
I don't think I ever found him Primal, so you are indeed lucky.
But you will find him multiple times as you play this game, so eventually, the novelty will wear off. :)

I do actually meet him frequently from ascension to ascension,but I was surprised by his Primal Form,and as I said earlier the wiki states it's the rarest encounter in-game
http://clickerheroes.wikia.com/wiki/Easter_Eggs
Miscellaneous section

[davidb11]

Yeah, I've seen it say it's the rarest encounter.
You have to understand, I don't know the math on it myself, but it could just be someone exaggerating the statement. :)

Your best bet is to find out how rare Kappa is exactly, in percentage, and then extrapolate from there.
I'm not exactly a math expert. :)

[Oriental despotism advocate]

Originally posted by davidb11:

Yeah, I've seen it say it's the rarest encounter.
You have to understand, I don't know the math on it myself, but it could just be someone exaggerating the statement. :)

Your best bet is to find out how rare Kappa is exactly, in percentage, and then extrapolate from there.
I'm not exactly a math expert. :)

I'm pretty sure it's 1/50,but yet we don't know how the odds stack (the math behind it) :/

[Oriental despotism advocate]

GOOD GOD
I think I had every boss after the 100th lvl primal (I'm @ 190),Luck streak of the year

[Nemonical-Yves]

I wouldn't call a primal Kappa rare. Sure, for a single boss level the chance is not too high, but if you take a whole run into account...

Assuming 25% primal chance and runs to level 200, you get 19 chances per run. You have 99.5% chance of a boss that can be primal to not be a primal Kappa (easier to calculate). Take 1 - 0.995^19 and you get a 9.08% chance of seeing at least one of those in a run. If you make 10 runs like that, your chance for one or more primal Kappas is already at 61.42%.

For me with regular runs to level 3000 and a 62% primal chance (through Atman and relics), the chance for seeing at least one primal Kappa on a single run is 99.897%. The bulk of that chance comes from multiple primal Kappas, my chance to see exactly one is only 0.715%. While I'm at it, my chance to have Fortuna trigger on a primal Kappa at least once in a run is 49.52%.

If you count single "dice rolls" for how rare an encounter is, a clickable fish is far less frequent with only a 0.01% chance. It just happens to get this chance once each frame. Due to the many chances, there is a 83.47% chance to get at least one fish in any interval of 10 minutes.

Edit: all that only if the assumed 2% Kappa chance is correct.

[Oriental despotism advocate]

Finally a useful Mathemagical answer,thx lad

[Yama]

This[i.imgur.com] ♥♥♥♥ though.