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There isn't anything setting a type of weather to happen more often than another in any of the experience modes. Just how frequently it changes.
Jeremy
This is an illusion. The temperature does not change based on your action. But, of course your "Freezing" bar will increase as you are outside over a protracted period of time. If it's warm enough, or you are (where your Feels Like is above freezing), then you should be fine.
In other words, the temperature is completely unrelated to your action. Your action is exposing you to the cold temperature.