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Story wise, I don't believe you are missing out on much, there might be some characters or locations that you meet and visit again in W3 but I don't think it's going to be major.
(You never know though)
I do believe one should play W2 before 3 though, as it has a ton more story elements and tells you a lot about the world. You will be more invested in the story and there are some major choices you can make, for example there are some very powerful characters in W2 that you can decide to kill, spare, save from certain death, make them enemies and so forth, which will certainly play into how W3 unfolds.
Witcher 3 last I heard got about 36 different endings, I am certain that a lot of those endings will differ from your choices in W2.
If you ask me though, both games are epic and I would tell you to play them both to get the full experience and see everything there is to see, but if you are short on time or dislike the gameplay or the graphics of witcher 1 as I have heard is the main reason people skip it, then go for W2.
A story recap of witcher 1 can be seen here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pB_bHqHzhIA
Remeber, keep your W2 end - saves safe on multiple drives incase of fire and prepare your anus for the next installment.
The Witcher 2 develops the plot.
To my understanding The Witcher 3 should conclude the plot.
The Witchers saves were transferable to the second game, however from what i remember this only translated to your last set of weapons like G'valchir, the moonblade and raven's armour or mentions of major plot characters from the first game like Yaevinn, i think .
Hopefully there will be alot more plot changes with the Witcher 2 transfering to 3, like Saskia, Triss Merigold, whether you chose to side with Roche or Iorveth and of course Letho .
Playing The Witcher 2 would probably be a good thing, spotting an important character etc would be easier as well as knowing a little more about them. It may also help to understanding how the game will play and feel a little bit more.
As for The Witcher; it gives the introduction to what sounds like the big antagonist of The Witcher 3 Wild Hunt and a background to Geralts Witchering past as well as some interesting small stories like the were wolf .
I'd say, play The Witcher 2 then if you feel like delving more into the universe and like a challenge try The Wticher maybe the books too.
I wouldn't advise that. You should definitely play W1 (and read books!) before playing W2. You may not understand many threads if you won't.
That would lock out a bunch of people who haven't played the game before, or people who got a new computer but beat the previous games, or for people who lost their saves. That would be a dumb business strategy and would hurt their sales a lot. The Lore-Quiz is also a stupid idea, some people probably haven't played the game in years, and probably wouldn't remember everything.
All they need to do is add a recap video of the previous witchers, and maybe add a selection thing like bioware uses.