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Can't I let him become king and then clear the and Craite's name (without finding out who is behind the bears)?
problem with putting svanrige on throne it wont be him ruling but his mother.
If Cerys discovers the plot with Geralt's intervention she'll be queen.
If Hjalmar succeeds in punishing the bersekers that transformed in bears in the feast, again with Geralt intervention, he'll be king.
If none of them succeeds then Svaringe is king.
to me only question's whether cerys and hjalmar die if you dont help them. i wont ever try playing tw3 again after just finishing b&w but i do think giant's probably killable before even help children quests start. whereas cerys isnt available unless crach points you to her. what i cant tell because i dont remember's whether hjalmar's on island already before everything or player fights giant solo then. or could be stupid cave's blocked until hjalmar quest starts so then it's missed totally?
Never tested that but I guess from the flow of action.
HJALMAR
He will perish if you don't go or go solo to Undvik but ignore Hjalmar.
If you find him I guess that he'll remain alive in Undvik till the Isle of Mists or you finish his quest.
The giant cave is blocked by many rocks and Hjalmar is intended to give Geralt the info about the giant's lair so no way to kill the giant without Hjalmar info.
Besides, the state of expedition and Hjalmar reckless behavior basically tell that if Geralt doesn't move a finger they all die there, since he's not willing to withdraw without killing the giant.
CERYS
In this case might be possible to find Cerys in the old house of jarl of Spikeroog, which probably to get all information without asking about her whereabouts in the village. But I don't see other way to get the information without collaborating with her.
Ignoring her will probably result in death too. When you find her she's unconscious in the house haunted by the hym, so I wouldn't bet in her waking up and getting alive unless Geralt saves her. Again the inflexion point will be The Isle of Mists.
PS: In case you help both them in their personal quests,but then you don't help in King's Gambit, this is Svanrige king. Both Hjalmar and Cerys will die in a raid against Niilfgard when later the niilfgardian fleet is stationed and ready to attack Skellige, they will become early war victims. Add it up that Crach will perish against Eredin and An Craite dynasty got wiped from the continent, in this case.
i explored all skellige and all regions in general before advancing main story and house was empty. i also think giant's island was largely empty but i didnt try checking every corner there.
That's kind of sad.