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Sorry I wasn't clear I set the band to 8 myself, not really sure why just felt like it at start of game. it is 10 by default.
Take a 70% shot, with Graze Band set to 10.
You've got a 70% chance for a hit, and a 30% for a miss, BUT, the graze band will extend 10 (or whatever you set it to) in each direction. Meaning, 10 of your hit chance is converted to graze, and 10 of your miss chance is converted to graze.
So it's actually a 60% chance to hit, 20% chance to graze, and 20% chance to miss. HOWEVER#1, if you roll a Critical, then a miss will become a graze, and a graze will become a miss, and a hit will become a critical. HOWEVER#2, if the enemy rolls a Dodge then a critical becomes a hit, a hit becomes a graze, and a graze becomes a miss.
I set my Graze Band to 5, personally.
Thanks for that I skim read a post on reddit about it I think and missed the 10% in each direction bit. Least it explains why they come up more often than I thought was right.
I would still like to find a mod with a modifier for hit chance but understand that's probably hard if not possible at all to do with the way xcom does hits.
That'd be the dodge mechanic. Even with the graze band disabled, an enemy has a chance to dodge (vipers have a very high one, iirc). If you roll a hit and the enemy rolls a dodge, the hit is converted to a graze even if it otherwise had a 0 % chance of happening.
That said, misses and grazes/dodges should be removed if the enemy is disabled - what, that fainted advent trooper just somehow got legcramps in both tighs that miraculously caused him to flop away from the hit? My elite troopers can't hit a stationary man-sized target 2 feet away with an entire burst of bullets?
Let me quote the Evil Overlord list:
Rule 56: My Legions of Terror will be trained in basic marksmanship. Any who cannot learn to hit a man-sized target at 10 meters will be used for target practice.
I get that they can get a graze, I do find that concept ok, but grazing 100% shots from adjacent tiles just ♥♥♥♥♥ up every plan you had, and I dislike it a lot!
A snake with 3 hp should not survive a 100% hit chance shot with a shotgun just because it grazed and just took 2 damage.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Xcom/comments/5otoft/lw2_visualization_of_how_hit_chance_crit_chance/